FCSB · Modelo 58.1%
implícita 41.0%
vehículo eléctrico: 3.2%
Mejor EV (1X2) 3.2%
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Más de 2.5
— Valor
Por qué
El modelo tasa FCSB (1X2) unos 17.1 puntos porcentuales por encima de la implícita de cierre — la lectura estructural principal frente a la línea.
Sí 54.2% · No 45.8%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -5.15% · EV No -1.53%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Más probable
0-1
Probabilidad 10.7%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado 6.51% ·
EV inferior -12.96%
(10 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -5.15% · EV No -1.53%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -5.15% · EV No -1.53%
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Estructura de Mercado + Ajuste de Riesgo)
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "6329ddf5468b80967e7c609d6bbbb26757a6c387def0f23700b30aa15c5a49a2",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.91,
"away_win_prob": 0.58,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2465,
"fair_odds_away": 1.72,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.06,
"fair_odds_home": 5.76,
"home_predicted_xg": 0.97,
"home_win_prob": 0.1735,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or FCSB",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : FCSB",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "FCSB"
},
"away_xg": 1.91,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "FCSB",
"confidence": 58.1,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "high",
"display_text": "Winner : FCSB",
"edge": 0.171,
"edge_gap": 0.3347,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4097,
"model_prob": 0.5806,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 58.1,
"draw": 24.6,
"home": 17.3
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "away",
"selection_name": "FCSB"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.21
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.21,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "FCSB Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 2.44,
"market_odds": 2.21,
"model_odds": 1.72,
"overround": 10.5,
"prob_edge": 12.9,
"value_pct": 28.5,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 12,
"away_failed_to_score": 8,
"away_played": 38,
"away_score_rate": 85.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 13,
"home_played": 38,
"home_score_rate": 62.1,
"no_prob": 45.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 54.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.91,
"home_expected": 0.97,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-3",
"prob": 6.5
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "AFC Hermannstadt or Draw",
"prob": 41.9
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "AFC Hermannstadt or FCSB",
"prob": 75.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or FCSB",
"prob": 82.6
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or FCSB",
"pick_prob": 82.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 58.0,
"draw_pct": 24.6,
"home_pct": 17.3,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "FCSB"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.88,
"away_avg_scored": 1.6,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 54.9,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.88,
"under_prob": 45.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 28.5,
"implied_prob": 45.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "FCSB Win",
"model_prob": 58.1,
"odds": 2.21
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "FCSB",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "AFC Hermannstadt",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.16,
"gap_pp": -16.82,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 17.34
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.87,
"gap_pp": -0.27,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 24.6
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.97,
"gap_pp": 17.1,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 58.06
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 49.2,
"gap_pp": 5.7,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 54.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.8,
"gap_pp": -5.7,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 45.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.65,
"early": 2.65,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.16,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.16,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.64,
"early": 3.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.87,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.87,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.21,
"early": 2.21,
"implied_closing_pct": 40.97,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 40.97,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.9,
"early": 1.9,
"implied_closing_pct": 49.2,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 49.2,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.84,
"early": 1.84,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.8,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 50.8,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 17.1,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.7
}
},
"home_xg": 0.97,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.109,
"ev_under": -0.098,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.109,
"over_prob": 54.9,
"sort_key": 10248.1,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 45.1,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0318,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4097,
"max_ev": 0.0318,
"model_prob": 0.5806,
"side_label": "FCSB",
"sort_key": 10028.62,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0611,
"ev_yes": -0.0515,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0515,
"no_prob": 45.8,
"sort_key": 1787.125,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.2
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 812.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
"top_prob": 10.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 559,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/559.webp",
"away_team_name": "FCSB",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
"country_name": "Romania",
"fixture_id": 1531544,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2579,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2579.webp",
"home_team_name": "AFC Hermannstadt",
"league_country": "Romania",
"league_id": 283,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
"league_name": "Liga I",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 8.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3346,
"best_odd": 2.21,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0572,
"ev": 0.0318,
"implied_prob": 0.4097,
"model_prob": 0.5806,
"p_final": 0.4669
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2988,
"best_odd": 3.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0008,
"ev": -0.0976,
"implied_prob": 0.2487,
"model_prob": 0.246,
"p_final": 0.2479
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3364,
"best_odd": 2.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0566,
"ev": -0.2447,
"implied_prob": 0.3416,
"model_prob": 0.1734,
"p_final": 0.285
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.75,
"edge_no": -0.0021,
"edge_yes": 0.0021,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0611,
"ev_yes": -0.0515,
"implied_no": 0.4601,
"implied_yes": 0.5399,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.02,
"best_under_odd": 2.0,
"edge_over": 0.0502,
"edge_under": -0.0502,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.109,
"ev_under": -0.098,
"implied_over": 0.4988,
"implied_under": 0.5012,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.88,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.109,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
"draw_prob": 0.246,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5806,
"over_prob": 0.549,
"total_xg": 2.88,
"under_prob": 0.451,
"xg_diff": 0.94
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0572,
"ev": 0.0318,
"implied_prob": 0.4097,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.5806,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FCSB"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0021,
"ev": -0.0515,
"implied_prob": 0.5399,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0502,
"ev": 0.109,
"implied_prob": 0.4988,
"model_prob": 0.549,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1531544,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.109,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.5806,
"draw": 0.246,
"home": 0.1734
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "FCSB",
"home": "AFC Hermannstadt"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.059841,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.109,
"implied_prob": 0.4988,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.549,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1531544,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:59:28.685871+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
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Liga I — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 49 |
| 2 | Universitatea Cluj | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 42 |
| 4 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Rapid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | FCSB | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46 |
| 8 | Uta Arad | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 43 |
| 9 | FC Botosani | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42 |
| 10 | Oţelul | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 | Farul Constanta | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 |
| 12 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 32 |
| 13 | Csikszereda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 14 | Unirea Slobozia | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 25 |
| 15 | AFC Hermannstadt | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 |
| 16 | Metaloglobus | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FCSB | 30 | 48 | 40 | +8 | 46 |
| 2 | Oţelul | 30 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 41 |
| 3 | Farul Constanta | 30 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 37 |
| 4 | Uta Arad | 30 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Botosani | 30 | 37 | 29 | +8 | 42 |
| 6 | Csikszereda | 30 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 32 |
| 7 | AFC Hermannstadt | 30 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 23 |
| 8 | Unirea Slobozia | 30 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 25 |
| 9 | Metaloglobus | 30 | 25 | 66 | -41 | 12 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 30 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 9 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 49 |
| 12 | Universitatea Cluj | 9 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 13 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 9 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 38 |
| 14 | Rapid | 9 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 9 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 42 |
| 16 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 31 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FCSB | 30 | 50.6 | 28.2 | +22.4 | 46 |
| 2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 9 | 43.7 | 24.3 | +19.4 | 38 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 9 | 37.5 | 24.4 | +13.1 | 49 |
| 4 | Oţelul | 30 | 41.3 | 33.1 | +8.2 | 41 |
| 5 | Farul Constanta | 30 | 37.8 | 33.2 | +4.6 | 37 |
| 6 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 9 | 34.8 | 32.4 | +2.4 | 42 |
| 7 | Rapid | 9 | 35.3 | 33.2 | +2.1 | 33 |
| 8 | FC Botosani | 30 | 33.9 | 32.2 | +1.7 | 42 |
| 9 | Universitatea Cluj | 9 | 32.0 | 30.8 | +1.2 | 45 |
| 10 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 26.0 | 25.8 | +0.2 | 31 |
| 11 | AFC Hermannstadt | 30 | 29.8 | 31.9 | -2.1 | 23 |
| 12 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 30 | 28.9 | 34.5 | -5.6 | 32 |
| 13 | Uta Arad | 30 | 33.5 | 42.0 | -8.5 | 43 |
| 14 | Unirea Slobozia | 30 | 26.9 | 39.8 | -12.9 | 25 |
| 15 | Metaloglobus | 30 | 23.1 | 42.4 | -19.3 | 12 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 30 | 22.9 | 49.8 | -26.9 | 32 |
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