Irtysh Omsk vs Veles Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 17, 2026 - 10:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5 — Valor
vehículo eléctrico 11.5% Modelo 59.6%
Por qué El modelo tasa Irtysh Omsk (1X2) unos 26.5 puntos porcentuales por encima de la implícita de cierre — la lectura estructural principal frente a la línea.

Inteligencia de mercado

Lectura de apoyo tras la elección principal: cómo se movió el feed de cierre priorizado frente al modelo.

Briefing de mercado

El mercado se mantuvo estable antes del inicio. No se detectó un cambio implícito relevante entre PRE30 y PRE1 en la captura priorizada.

A pesar del movimiento tardío limitado, el modelo sigue tasando Irtysh Omsk (1X2),Menos de 2,5 goles claramente por encima de lo implícito en esas capturas de cierre: es una lectura estática de «modelo vs precio», no de persecución tardía.

El modelo aún supera la implícita de cierre en Irtysh Omsk (1X2) en unos 26.5 puntos porcentuales — la señal de desajuste más clara de esta página.

Modelo vs implícita de cierre

Mercado Modelo % Implícita cierre % Brecha (pp)
Irtysh Omsk (1X2) 41.8 15.2 +26.5
Dibujar (1X2) 25.7 26.4 -0.8
Veles (1X2) 32.6 58.3 -25.8
Más de 2,5 goles 40.4 50.7 -10.3
Menos de 2,5 goles 59.6 49.3 +10.3
Ambos marcan — Sí 48.9 49.5 -0.6
Ambos marcan — No 51.1 50.5 +0.6
Qué significa

En simple: el modelo ronda el 41.8% en Irtysh Omsk (1X2), mientras la captura de cierre implicaba unos 15.2%. La diferencia —unos 26.5 puntos porcentuales— es la mayor brecha modelo-mercado destacada aquí.

Definiciones rápidas: «implícita de cierre» es la probabilidad implícita en las cuotas finales capturadas (tras un de-vig simple). «Brecha (pp)» = porcentaje del modelo menos esa implícita, en puntos porcentuales (pp).

Movimiento de cuota antes del inicio

Una casa prioritaria por instantáneo (no todas). Ruta de capturas: PRE30 → PRE1 · Casa: Marathonbet

Entre paréntesis en columnas: Cierre = primera captura disponible en PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Temprano = primera en PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 distinta de Cierre.

Las cuotas detalladas están plegadas abajo — el movimiento implícito fue insignificante.

Ver tabla completa línea a línea
Mercado Temprano (PRE30) Cierre (PRE1) Δ implícita (pp)
Irtysh Omsk (1X2) 5.9 5.9 0.0
Dibujar (1X2) 3.4 3.4 0.0
Veles (1X2) 1.54 1.54 0.0
Más de 2,5 goles 1.82 1.82 0.0
Menos de 2,5 goles 1.87 1.87 0.0
Ambos marcan — Sí 1.84 1.84 0.0
Ambos marcan — No 1.8 1.8 0.0
1X2 Mejor valor (+EV)
Irtysh Omsk · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 15.2%
vehículo eléctrico: 8.7%
Mejor EV (1X2) 8.7%
Ambos Equipos Marcarán Poco valor
48.9% · No 51.1%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -9.53% · EV No -7.0%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
0-1
Probabilidad 16.0%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
  • Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
  • EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
  • Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
  • Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado -26.47% · EV inferior 11.45% (2 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -9.53% · EV No -7.0%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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        "slot": "primary",
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T09:59:04.759986+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Predicciones
Second League A - Division A Gold Second League A - Division A GoldClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Veles 18 9 6 3 33
2 Volgar Astrakhan 18 9 5 4 32
3 Tekstilshchik 18 8 6 4 30
4 Mashuk-KMV 18 8 6 4 30
5 Novosibirsk 18 7 3 8 24
6 Leningradets 18 7 3 8 24
7 Tyumen 18 6 5 7 23
8 Dinamo Kirov 18 5 5 8 20
9 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 18 5 2 11 17
10 Dinamo Moskva II 18 1 9 8 12
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Tyumen 18 31 26 +5 23
2 Veles 18 26 12 +14 33
3 Novosibirsk 18 26 18 +8 24
4 Tekstilshchik 18 24 16 +8 30
5 Leningradets 18 22 25 -3 24
6 Mashuk-KMV 18 20 17 +3 30
7 Dinamo Kirov 18 20 24 -4 20
8 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 18 19 30 -11 17
9 Volgar Astrakhan 18 18 11 +7 32
10 Dinamo Moskva II 18 9 36 -27 12