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{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "52d94c53b3dcfd021beb3eab755d4020ae958c69b0dfa0e19eaf44a1147b72dd",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Mashuk-KMV",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Mashuk-KMV"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0121,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
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"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 12,
"away_played": 30,
"away_score_rate": 60.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 10,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 30,
"home_score_rate": 70.0,
"no_prob": 58.0,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 58.0,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 42.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.1,
"home_expected": 1.05,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Leningradets or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Leningradets or Mashuk-KMV",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Mashuk-KMV",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Mashuk-KMV",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.15,
"away_avg_scored": 0.9,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 36.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 63.6,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.15,
"under_prob": 63.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Mashuk-KMV",
"closing_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Leningradets",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.97,
"gap_pp": -1.21,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 32.42,
"gap_pp": -6.75,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.61,
"gap_pp": 7.96,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.24,
"gap_pp": -7.84,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 36.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.76,
"gap_pp": 7.84,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 63.6
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.27,
"gap_pp": -8.27,
"kind": "btts_y",
"model_pct": 42.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 49.73,
"gap_pp": 8.27,
"kind": "btts_n",
"model_pct": 58.0
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.09,
"early": 2.09,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.97,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.97,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.77,
"early": 2.77,
"implied_closing_pct": 32.42,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 32.42,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.65,
"early": 3.65,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.61,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.61,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.08,
"early": 2.08,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.24,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.24,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.65,
"early": 1.65,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.76,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.76,
"kind": "ou_u"
},
{
"closing": 1.81,
"early": 1.81,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.27,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "btts_y"
},
{
"closing": 1.83,
"early": 1.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 49.73,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 49.73,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 8.3,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.073,
"ev_yes": -0.2356,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.073,
"no_prob": 58.0,
"sort_key": 10215.7,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 42.0
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2356,
"ev_under": 0.043,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.043,
"over_prob": 36.4,
"sort_key": 10038.7,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 63.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.113,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4297,
"max_ev": -0.0251,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Leningradets",
"sort_key": 1793.725,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 820.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 6814,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6814.webp",
"away_team_name": "Mashuk-KMV",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ru.svg",
"country_name": "Russia",
"fixture_id": 1527822,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 6811,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6811.webp",
"home_team_name": "Leningradets",
"league_country": "Russia",
"league_id": 1025,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1025.webp",
"league_name": "Second League A - Division A Gold",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 10:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2642,
"best_odd": 3.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.021,
"ev": -0.0251,
"implied_prob": 0.2461,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2671
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4044,
"best_odd": 2.77,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0273,
"ev": -0.1775,
"implied_prob": 0.3242,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2969
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4419,
"best_odd": 2.09,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0053,
"ev": -0.113,
"implied_prob": 0.4297,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4244
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.85,
"best_yes_odd": 1.82,
"edge_no": 0.0821,
"edge_yes": -0.0821,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.073,
"ev_yes": -0.2356,
"implied_no": 0.4979,
"implied_yes": 0.5021,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.64,
"edge_over": -0.0745,
"edge_under": 0.0745,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2356,
"ev_under": 0.043,
"implied_over": 0.4385,
"implied_under": 0.5615,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.073,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.42,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.364,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.636,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0053,
"ev": -0.113,
"implied_prob": 0.4297,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Leningradets"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0821,
"ev": 0.073,
"implied_prob": 0.4979,
"model_prob": 0.58,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0745,
"ev": 0.043,
"implied_prob": 0.5615,
"model_prob": 0.636,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1527822,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.073,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Mashuk-KMV",
"home": "Leningradets"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.037259,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.073,
"implied_prob": 0.4979,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.58,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1527822,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T09:59:07.663792+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Second League A - Division A Gold — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veles | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 33 |
| 2 | Volgar Astrakhan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 32 |
| 3 | Tekstilshchik | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30 |
| 4 | Mashuk-KMV | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30 |
| 5 | Novosibirsk | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 |
| 6 | Leningradets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Tyumen | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Dinamo Kirov | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva II | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyumen | 18 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 23 |
| 2 | Veles | 18 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 33 |
| 3 | Novosibirsk | 18 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Tekstilshchik | 18 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 30 |
| 5 | Leningradets | 18 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
| 6 | Mashuk-KMV | 18 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 30 |
| 7 | Dinamo Kirov | 18 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 18 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
| 9 | Volgar Astrakhan | 18 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 32 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva II | 18 | 9 | 36 | -27 | 12 |
Russia. Second League A - Division A Gold Predicciones
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