Tenga cuidado
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Mayor movimiento del día
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 23h 56m
10/12 casas sincronizadas en Volta Redonda (15.2% steam, puntuación 82) — repricing de alta convicción multi-casa supera movimientos aislados.
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
La estimación justa difiere notablemente de los precios actuales del mercado. Esto puede reflejar un desacuerdo genuino o entradas de calificación incompletas.
La estimación estadística justa es materialmente más alta que el mercado en Volta Redonda.
La actividad del mercado se alinea con la mayor brecha de precios en Volta Redonda.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo PB | 33.77% | 45.6% | -11.8 pp |
| Empate | 29.64% | 30.4% | -0.8 pp |
| Volta Redonda | 36.59% | 24.0% | +12.6 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
Volta Redonda market context before kickoff
🔥 Steam fuerte on Volta Redonda
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Etapa actual: Advertencia de validación del modelo
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "ab4c47c3875560b68fdc7e841d4b8f60388d518a273978d88f842dbfacb76d5b",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.33,
"away_win_prob": 0.3659,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2964,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.73,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.96,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.27,
"home_win_prob": 0.3377,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Volta Redonda and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Volta Redonda"
},
"away_xg": 1.33,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Volta Redonda",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1264,
"edge_gap": 0.0284,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2396,
"model_prob": 0.366,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 36.6,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 33.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 4.0
},
{
"affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 3.95
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 3.9
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.9
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
"odd": 3.9
},
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 3.87
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 3.8
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"odd": 3.8
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 4.0,
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"display_market": "Volta Redonda Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 4.17,
"market_odds": 3.8,
"model_odds": 2.73,
"overround": 9.7,
"prob_edge": 11.6,
"value_pct": 46.5,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 10,
"away_score_rate": 73.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 10,
"home_score_rate": 71.9,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.33,
"home_expected": 1.27,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Botafogo PB or Draw",
"prob": 63.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Botafogo PB or Volta Redonda",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Volta Redonda",
"prob": 66.2
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Botafogo PB or Volta Redonda",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 36.6,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 33.8,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Volta Redonda"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.7,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"edge": 46.5,
"implied_prob": 25.0,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Volta Redonda Win",
"model_prob": 36.6,
"odds": 4.0
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.27,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2174,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -21.7,
"text": "-21.7%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.199,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 19.9,
"text": "+19.9%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.199,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10329.1,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.205,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 20.5,
"text": "+20.5%"
},
"ev_under": -0.1919,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -19.2,
"text": "-19.2%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.205,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10184.5,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0285,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 2.9,
"text": "+2.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.24,
"max_ev": 0.0285,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 2.9,
"text": "+2.9%"
},
"model_prob": 0.366,
"side_label": "Volta Redonda",
"sort_key": 5222.8,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/12",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +15.2%",
"alert_team": "Volta Redonda",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 12.6,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 12.59,
"hero_label": "Volta Redonda",
"market_prob_pct": 24.0,
"market_team": "Botafogo PB",
"model_prob_pct": 36.6,
"model_team": "Volta Redonda",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 82,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.83,
"fair_prob": 33.77,
"label": "Botafogo PB",
"market_prob": 45.6,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.76,
"fair_prob": 29.64,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 30.4,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.59,
"fair_prob": 36.59,
"label": "Volta Redonda",
"market_prob": 24.0,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.02,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 38.18,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.02,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 61.82,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.2,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 44.3,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.2,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 55.7,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 12.59,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.59,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Volta Redonda",
"market_prob_pct": 24.0,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Volta Redonda"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 12.59,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Volta Redonda",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 24.0,
"model_prob_pct": 36.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Volta Redonda, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Botafogo PB remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 12.59,
"hero_label": "Volta Redonda",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Volta Redonda odds lengthened \u2191 +15.2%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Volta Redonda.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Volta Redonda.",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Volta Redonda.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Volta Redonda."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Volta Redonda more strongly than current market pricing.",
"Recent line movement on Volta Redonda (\u2191 +15.2%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/12) supports the current market view on Volta Redonda."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 12.59,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 2.8 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 2.8,
"max_prob_pct": 36.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.83,
"fair_prob_pct": 33.77,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Botafogo PB",
"market_prob_pct": 45.6,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.76,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.64,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 30.4,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.59,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.59,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Volta Redonda",
"market_prob_pct": 24.0,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Volta Redonda.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Botafogo PB (24.0%).",
"However, Volta Redonda has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +15.2%, 10/12).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Volta Redonda, Market \u2192 Botafogo PB, Recent sharp money \u2192 Volta Redonda.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": null,
"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
"entry_implied_pct": 26.32,
"entry_odds": 3.8,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 12,
"breadth_display": "10/12",
"clv_label": "Waiting for Close",
"clv_status": "waiting",
"current_odds": 3.8,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.2%",
"move_pct_abs": 15.2,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 23h 56m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"10/12 books synchronized on Volta Redonda (15.2% steam, score 82) \u2014 high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.",
"Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "4.00 \u2192 3.28 \u2192 3.80",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 23h 56m",
"pick_team": "Volta Redonda",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.00"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.28"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.80"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 3.3,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Volta Redonda \u2191 +15.2% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Volta Redonda",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Volta Redonda \u2191 +15.2% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "steam",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udd25",
"signal_key": "strong_steam",
"signal_label": "Strong steam",
"steam_score": 82,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/12",
"current_odds": 3.8,
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.2%",
"open_odds": 3.3,
"pick_team": "Volta Redonda",
"steam_score": 82,
"steam_team_name": "Volta Redonda",
"steam_tier": "A+"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 12.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 7814,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7814.webp",
"away_team_name": "Volta Redonda",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1526857,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 1197,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1197.webp",
"home_team_name": "Botafogo PB",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 75,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/75.webp",
"league_name": "Serie C",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-20 20:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Joao Pessoa",
"venue_name": "Jose Americo de Almeida Filho"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2433,
"best_odd": 3.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0307,
"ev": 0.0285,
"implied_prob": 0.24,
"model_prob": 0.366,
"p_final": 0.2707
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2966,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0022,
"ev": -0.0947,
"implied_prob": 0.304,
"model_prob": 0.2965,
"p_final": 0.3018
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.37,
"best_odd": 2.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0438,
"ev": -0.1757,
"implied_prob": 0.456,
"model_prob": 0.3375,
"p_final": 0.4122
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.72,
"best_yes_odd": 2.2,
"edge_no": -0.102,
"edge_yes": 0.102,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2174,
"ev_yes": 0.199,
"implied_no": 0.557,
"implied_yes": 0.443,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.5,
"best_under_odd": 1.56,
"edge_over": 0.1002,
"edge_under": -0.1002,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.205,
"ev_under": -0.1919,
"implied_over": 0.3818,
"implied_under": 0.6182,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.205,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.366,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0307,
"ev": 0.0285,
"implied_prob": 0.24,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.366,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Volta Redonda"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.102,
"ev": 0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.443,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1002,
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3818,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1526857,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.205,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.366,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.3375
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3818,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3818,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Volta Redonda",
"home": "Botafogo PB"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.108455,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.443,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1526857,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-19T04:29:17.601193+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahoraEnter keywords to search teams, leagues or fixtures
Brazil. Serie C Predicciones
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
