NSÍ II vs TB Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Jun 13, 2026 - 15:00
1.26
1.34
33% 30% 37%

Evaluación de pronóstico

Tenga cuidado

Favorito
TB Partido equilibrado
Probabilidad del modelo
37.1%
Probabilidad de mercado
31.7%
Acuerdo de mercado
Débil
Validación
Advertencia

Resumen:

Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.

Auditoría de Mercado

Acuerdo de mercado
Débil
Validación
Advertencia
Mayor brecha
NSÍ II -10.3 pp
Amplitud
8/8
Actividad actual del mercado
Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.

La estimación justa difiere notablemente de los precios actuales del mercado. Esto puede reflejar un desacuerdo genuino o entradas de calificación incompletas.

Evaluación de mercado

El mercado es materialmente más optimista sobre NSÍ II que la estimación justa actual.

La actividad del mercado se alinea con la mayor brecha de precios en NSÍ II.

  • Es posible que los inversores estén incorporando información que no se refleja plenamente en el modelo de referencia.
  • El contexto específico del torneo puede cambiar los precios del mercado.
Resultado Justo Mercado Borde
NSÍ II 33.31% 43.63% -10.3 pp
Empate 29.63% 24.68% +5.0 pp
TB 37.06% 31.69% +5.4 pp

Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.

Veredicto final de apuestas

Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.

  • Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
  • Valor posible: Menos de 2.5 (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
  • Valor posible: BTTS No (+21.0% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Convicción moderada (6.5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5 — Valor
vehículo eléctrico +25%+ Modelo 51.8%
Secundaria (valor equilibrado): BTTS No (vehículo eléctrico +21.0%) — 45.5% Modelo
EV más bajo que el primario, pero con mayor probabilidad de modelo (más “estable” cuando se muestra).
Ambos Equipos Marcarán Mejor valor (+EV)
54.5% · No 45.5%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -21.0% · EV No +21.0%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
1X2 Poco valor
TB · Probabilidad del modelo 37.0%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 31.7%
EV línea de consenso: -3.4%
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.5%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
  • Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
  • EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
  • Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
  • Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado -27.7% · EV inferior +25%+ (5 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -21.0% · EV No +21.0%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

NSÍ II market context before kickoff

⚠️ Mercado volátil on NSÍ II

Odds move
2.10 → 2.10 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
8/8
Steam score
30 (C)
Current status
1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.

Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Ciclo de vida de decisión

Etapa actual: Advertencia de validación del modelo

  1. Pronóstico generado
  2. Mercado comparado
  3. Validación aprobada
  4. Cierre grabado
  5. CLV evaluado
Entrada
2.07
Cierre
Pendiente
CLV
Pendiente

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "0406b27e9ec6547c97e1943f6fc7f4f2841a86a381f302880ada2e561afe1738",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.34,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3706,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.455,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2963,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.7,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.0,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.26,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3331,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or TB and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "TB"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.34,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "TB",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0533,
        "edge_gap": 0.0371,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3172,
        "model_prob": 0.3705,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 37.1,
          "draw": 29.6,
          "home": 33.3
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 2.95
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 2.9
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
          "odd": 2.9
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 2.86
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
          "odd": 2.85
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
          "odd": 2.8
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
          "odd": 2.7
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
          "odd": 2.63
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.95,
        "bookmaker_affi": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
        "bookmaker_id": 9,
        "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
        "display_market": "TB Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.15,
        "market_odds": 2.82,
        "model_odds": 2.7,
        "overround": 11.6,
        "prob_edge": 3.1,
        "value_pct": 9.3,
        "value_rating": "small_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 1,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 11,
        "away_score_rate": 73.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 2,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 12,
        "home_score_rate": 71.6,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.34,
        "home_expected": 1.26,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "NS\u00cd II or Draw",
            "prob": 62.9
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "NS\u00cd II or TB",
            "prob": 70.4
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or TB",
            "prob": 66.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "NS\u00cd II or TB",
        "pick_prob": 70.4
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 37.1,
        "draw_pct": 29.6,
        "home_pct": 33.3,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "TB"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 3,
        "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
        "edge": 11.0,
        "implied_prob": 26.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 29.6,
        "odds": 3.75
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.26,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.277,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -27.7,
          "text": "-27.7%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.295,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 29.5,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.295,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 10415.5,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2103,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 21.0,
          "text": "+21.0%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.2097,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -21.0,
          "text": "-21.0%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2103,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "sort_key": 10189.27,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0336,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -3.4,
          "text": "-3.4%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3169,
        "max_ev": -0.0336,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -3.4,
          "text": "-3.4%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3705,
        "side_label": "TB",
        "sort_key": 1791.6,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "",
        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 10.3,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.32,
        "hero_label": "NS\u00cd II",
        "market_prob_pct": 31.7,
        "market_team": "NS\u00cd II",
        "model_prob_pct": 37.1,
        "model_team": "TB",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": -10.32,
          "fair_prob": 33.31,
          "label": "NS\u00cd II",
          "market_prob": 43.63,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 4.95,
          "fair_prob": 29.63,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 24.68,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 5.37,
          "fair_prob": 37.06,
          "label": "TB",
          "market_prob": 31.69,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -14.42,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 62.62,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 14.42,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 37.38,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -10.1,
          "fair_prob": 54.5,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 64.6,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 10.1,
          "fair_prob": 45.5,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 35.4,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -10.32,
        "fair_prob_pct": 33.31,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "NS\u00cd II",
        "market_prob_pct": 43.63,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "NS\u00cd II"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 10.32,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "TB",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 31.7,
          "model_prob_pct": 37.1,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "The model and market both lean TB, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and NS\u00cd II remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.32,
        "hero_label": "NS\u00cd II",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about NS\u00cd II than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on NS\u00cd II.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about NS\u00cd II than the current fair estimate.",
            "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on NS\u00cd II."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market favors NS\u00cd II more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
            "Recent line movement on NS\u00cd II (+0.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (8/8) supports the current market view on NS\u00cd II."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 10.32,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Top two 1X2 outcomes within 3.8 percentage points."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 3.8,
          "max_prob_pct": 37.1,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -10.32,
            "fair_prob_pct": 33.31,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "NS\u00cd II",
            "market_prob_pct": 43.63,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 4.95,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.63,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 24.68,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 5.37,
            "fair_prob_pct": 37.06,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "TB",
            "market_prob_pct": 31.69,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on NS\u00cd II.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers NS\u00cd II (31.7%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 TB, Market \u2192 NS\u00cd II, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 48.31,
        "entry_odds": 2.07,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "8/8",
        "current_odds": 2.1,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.1,
        "pick_team": "NS\u00cd II",
        "steam_score": 30,
        "steam_team_name": "NS\u00cd II",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 10.3,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 4192,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4192.webp",
      "away_team_name": "TB",
      "country_code": "FO",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/fo.svg",
      "country_name": "Faroe-Islands",
      "fixture_id": 1506622,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Faroe-Islands",
      "home_team_id": 4181,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4181.webp",
      "home_team_name": "NS\u00cd II",
      "league_country": "Faroe-Islands",
      "league_id": 366,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/366.webp",
      "league_name": "1. Deild",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4138,
            "best_odd": 2.85,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0222,
            "ev": -0.0336,
            "implied_prob": 0.3169,
            "model_prob": 0.3705,
            "p_final": 0.3391
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2779,
            "best_odd": 3.66,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0137,
            "ev": -0.0468,
            "implied_prob": 0.2468,
            "model_prob": 0.296,
            "p_final": 0.2604
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3806,
            "best_odd": 2.07,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0391,
            "ev": -0.1778,
            "implied_prob": 0.4363,
            "model_prob": 0.3335,
            "p_final": 0.3972
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.66,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.45,
          "edge_no": 0.101,
          "edge_yes": -0.101,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2103,
          "ev_yes": -0.2097,
          "implied_no": 0.354,
          "implied_yes": 0.646,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.5,
          "best_under_odd": 2.5,
          "edge_over": -0.1442,
          "edge_under": 0.1442,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.277,
          "ev_under": 0.295,
          "implied_over": 0.6262,
          "implied_under": 0.3738,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.295,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.296,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3705,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.08
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0222,
          "ev": -0.0336,
          "implied_prob": 0.3169,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3705,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "TB"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.101,
          "ev": 0.2103,
          "implied_prob": 0.354,
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1442,
          "ev": 0.295,
          "implied_prob": 0.3738,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1506622,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.295,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3705,
        "draw": 0.296,
        "home": 0.3335
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2103,
        "implied_prob": 0.354,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.455,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2103,
          "implied_prob": 0.354,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "TB",
        "home": "NS\u00cd II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.106967,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.295,
        "implied_prob": 0.3738,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1506622,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T09:11:09.784619+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

Obtén predicciones premium para NSÍ II & TB!

Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.

Suscríbete ahora
Volver a Predicciones