Sí 81.4% · No 18.6%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí +25%+ · EV No -57.6%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
Evaluación de pronóstico
Tenga cuidado
- Favorito
- Vittsjö W Ligeramente favorito
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 45.2%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 30.4%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Débil
- Validación
- Advertencia
Resumen:
El modelo y el mercado se inclinan del mismo lado hacia Vittsjö W, pero las diferencias de precios justifican la precaución.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
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Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Débil
- Validación
- Advertencia
- Mayor brecha
- Vittsjö W +14.8 pp
- Amplitud
- 11/13
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.
La estimación justa difiere notablemente de los precios actuales del mercado. Esto puede reflejar un desacuerdo genuino o entradas de calificación incompletas.
Evaluación de mercado
La estimación estadística justa es materialmente más alta que el mercado en Vittsjö W.
- El modelo puede ver un enfrentamiento más lento o más igualado que el mercado.
- Monitorear el movimiento de la línea antes del inicio: no es una recomendación para apostar.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vittsjö W | 45.2% | 30.44% | +14.8 pp |
| Empate | 20.4% | 27.44% | -7.0 pp |
| Kristianstad W | 34.39% | 42.12% | -7.7 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Valor posible en 1X2: Vittsjö W (+6.0% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Valor posible: Más de 2.5 (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Valor posible: BTTS Sí (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Convicción moderada (6.5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Más de 2.5
— Valor
Vittsjö W · Probabilidad del modelo 45.2%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 30.4%
EV línea de consenso: +6.0%
Más probable
2-2
Probabilidad 7.0%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado +25%+ ·
EV inferior -64.5%
(11 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +25%+ · EV No -57.6%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +25%+ · EV No -57.6%
Vittsjö W market context before kickoff
⚠️ Mercado volátil on Vittsjö W
- Odds move
- 2.90 → 2.90 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 11/13
- Steam score
- 25 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Advertencia de validación del modelo
- Pronóstico generado
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 2.98
- Cierre
- Pendiente
- CLV
- Pendiente
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"venue_city": "Vittsjo",
"venue_name": "Vittsjo"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3948,
"best_odd": 2.135,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0323,
"ev": -0.1608,
"implied_prob": 0.4254,
"model_prob": 0.3436,
"p_final": 0.3931
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2695,
"best_odd": 3.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0183,
"ev": -0.1529,
"implied_prob": 0.2719,
"model_prob": 0.204,
"p_final": 0.2536
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2326,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0348,
"ev": 0.0126,
"implied_prob": 0.3027,
"model_prob": 0.4524,
"p_final": 0.3375
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.28,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": -0.2421,
"edge_yes": 0.2421,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.5759,
"ev_yes": 0.3594,
"implied_no": 0.4281,
"implied_yes": 0.5719,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.83,
"best_under_odd": 2.18,
"edge_over": 0.3022,
"edge_under": -0.3022,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.5317,
"ev_under": -0.6447,
"implied_over": 0.5348,
"implied_under": 0.4652,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 4.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5317,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.814,
"draw_prob": 0.204,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4524,
"over_prob": 0.837,
"total_xg": 4.6,
"under_prob": 0.163,
"xg_diff": 0.3
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0348,
"ev": 0.0126,
"implied_prob": 0.3027,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4524,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2421,
"ev": 0.3594,
"implied_prob": 0.5719,
"model_prob": 0.814,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.3022,
"ev": 0.5317,
"implied_prob": 0.5348,
"model_prob": 0.837,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1495494,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5317,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3436,
"draw": 0.204,
"home": 0.4524
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3594,
"implied_prob": 0.5719,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.814,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3594,
"implied_prob": 0.5719,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.814,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Kristianstad W",
"home": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.556291,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5317,
"implied_prob": 0.5348,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.837,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1495494,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T06:54:14.547420+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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