Predicciones / Fútbol / Costa-Rica. Primera División / Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense

Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
Apr 26, 2026 - 21:00
1.45
1.25
45% 45% 10%
LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ Municipal Liberia (Value)
Match: 45.0% Municipal Liberia; implied 26.9%; EV 67.4%
Primary: Municipal Liberia — Value · EV 67.4% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Empate (EV 46.2%) — 45.0% model
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS Sí (EV 26.6%) — 66.3% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5 43.0%
Menos de 2.5 57.0%
No value — this market is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no line clears the +EV threshold).
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
Sí 66.3%
No 33.7%
Selección de IA: BTTS Sí
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
0-1 12.7%
1-1 12.7%
0-0 9.1%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confianza: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -5.4% · EV Under -3.1% (10 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes 26.63% · EV No -34.96%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.0.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet

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Primera División Primera División — Standings
# EQUIPO PJ W D L PTS
1 LD Alajuelense 18 12 4 2 40
2 Deportivo Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34
3 CS Cartagines 18 7 7 4 28
4 Municipal Liberia 18 7 6 5 27
5 CS Herediano 18 7 5 6 26
6 Perez Zeledon 18 6 5 7 23
7 Puntarenas FC 18 4 9 5 21
8 Sporting San Jose 18 3 7 8 16
9 Guadalupe FC 18 2 7 9 13
10 San Carlos 18 3 4 11 13
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Deportivo Saprissa 18 32 20 +12 34
2 LD Alajuelense 18 29 10 +19 40
3 Perez Zeledon 18 25 28 -3 23
4 Puntarenas FC 18 22 21 +1 21
5 CS Herediano 18 22 22 0 26
6 Municipal Liberia 18 20 21 -1 27
7 CS Cartagines 18 19 12 +7 28
8 Guadalupe FC 18 17 32 -15 13
9 Sporting San Jose 18 15 19 -4 16
10 San Carlos 18 15 31 -16 13
Primera División Costa-Rica. Primera División Predicciones
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