Predicciones / Fútbol / Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 / Alfaro vs SD Logroñés

Alfaro vs SD Logroñés Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Alfaro Alfaro
Apr 26, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
35% 35% 30%
SD Logroñés SD Logroñés
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ Alfaro (Value)
Match: 35.0% Alfaro; implied 21.6%; EV 61.7%
Primary (weak / speculative): Alfaro — Value (Speculative) · EV 61.7% · Model 35.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
High model EV on this line, but a low model hit-rate — treat as a speculative, not a “banker”.
Alternative (more stable for typical stakes): BTTS No · EV 30.1% · 68.5% model
Higher model probability on this line than the weak primary — often a better default for “standard” bet sizing.
Secondary (balanced value): Menos de 2.5 (EV 7.8%) — 58.3% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5 41.7%
Menos de 2.5 58.3%
Selección de IA: Menos de 2.5
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
Sí 31.5%
No 68.5%
Selección de IA: BTTS No
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
1-1 13.1%
0-1 11.9%
1-0 10.5%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confianza: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -17.43% · EV Under 7.85% (7 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -41.73% · EV No 30.15%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.0.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet

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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 — Standings
# EQUIPO PJ W D L PTS
1 Real Unión 32 19 9 4 66
2 Deportivo Alavés II 32 16 10 6 58
3 UD Logroñés 32 16 7 9 55
4 Utebo 32 16 7 9 55
5 Tudelano 32 15 9 8 54
6 Ebro 32 11 16 5 49
7 Sestao River 32 11 13 8 46
8 Amorebieta 32 12 10 10 46
9 Eibar II 32 13 6 13 45
10 Basconia 32 10 13 9 43
11 Gernika 32 12 7 13 43
12 Náxara 32 10 8 14 38
13 Ejea 32 8 10 14 34
14 SD Logroñés 32 7 13 12 34
15 Beasain 32 7 12 13 33
16 Mutilvera 32 8 6 18 30
17 Alfaro 32 6 7 19 25
18 Real Zaragoza II 32 6 7 19 25
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 UD Logroñés 32 67 33 +34 55
2 Real Unión 32 61 32 +29 66
3 Utebo 32 55 41 +14 55
4 Tudelano 32 54 38 +16 54
5 Basconia 32 50 42 +8 43
6 Ebro 32 42 32 +10 49
7 Deportivo Alavés II 32 39 19 +20 58
8 Sestao River 32 38 32 +6 46
9 Eibar II 32 37 39 -2 45
10 Náxara 32 36 45 -9 38
11 Amorebieta 32 35 31 +4 46
12 Beasain 32 35 43 -8 33
13 Gernika 32 34 40 -6 43
14 Ejea 32 33 49 -16 34
15 Alfaro 32 32 57 -25 25
16 Mutilvera 32 31 60 -29 30
17 Real Zaragoza II 32 27 55 -28 25
18 SD Logroñés 32 21 39 -18 34
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Predicciones
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