Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2
✔ Unionistas de Salamanca (Value)
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5
43.0%
Menos de 2.5
57.0%
No value — this market is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no line clears the +EV threshold).
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
Sí
50.5%
No
49.5%
No value — BTTS is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no side clears the +EV threshold).
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.4%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confianza: 6.0 / 9
- Primary line identified (+1.0)
- Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
- Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
- Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
- Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Over -4.54% ·
EV Under -5.95%
(7 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -3.54% · EV No -9.41%
BTTS: EV Yes -3.54% · EV No -9.41%
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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — Standings
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta de Vigo II | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 61 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 53 |
| 4 | Real Madrid U21 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Zamora | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Madrid II | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 |
| 9 | Mérida AD | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 |
| 13 | Athletic Club II | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereño | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna II | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 27 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celta de Vigo II | 34 | 56 | 43 | +13 | 61 |
| 2 | Tenerife | 34 | 55 | 20 | +35 | 70 |
| 3 | Real Madrid U21 | 34 | 54 | 43 | +11 | 53 |
| 4 | Real Avilés | 33 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 41 |
| 5 | Real Madrid II | 31 | 46 | 41 | +5 | 46 |
| 6 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 33 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 48 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
| 8 | Zamora | 33 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 52 |
| 9 | Mérida AD | 34 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Pontevedra | 34 | 43 | 26 | +17 | 53 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 47 |
| 12 | Ponferradina | 34 | 38 | 29 | +9 | 51 |
| 13 | Ourense CF | 33 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 14 | Guadalajara | 34 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 36 |
| 15 | Racing Ferrol | 33 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 45 |
| 16 | Athletic Club II | 33 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 34 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Lugo | 34 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 46 |
| 19 | Cacereño | 34 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Osasuna II | 34 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 33 |
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