Atletico Madrid Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

Spain Founded: 1903 MAD

Explore Atletico Madrid's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Atletico Madrid have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Their defensive record remains a concern, conceding 1.4 goals per match on average. Recent form shows a W-W-L-W-W pattern, with a 2-game winning streak building momentum. At home they are considerably stronger with a 75% win rate compared to just 25% away. With 60% of recent matches producing Over 2.5 goals, Atletico Madrid games tend to be high-scoring affairs.

Current Form

W W L W W

Win Rate

50%

Record (Last 10)

5W 0D 5L

Prediction Accuracy

60%

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Atletico Madrid Matches

Spain. La Liga (1)

16:00

Villarreal

48% 27% 26% PREDICTION

Atletico Madrid

1.72 : 1.22

xG:

1.72 : 1.22

Recent Results & Statistics for Atletico Madrid (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Atletico Madrid Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 15

Goals Conceded 14

Avg. Goals Scored 1.5

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.4

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 5

Draws 0

Losses 5

Win Rate 50%

Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Atletico Madrid matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (80% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (40%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%

Home Accuracy 80%

Away Accuracy 40%

Attacking Trends

Atletico Madrid average 1.5 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 12.2 shots per game with 4.0 on target (32.8% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.51 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 49% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.5

Avg. Shots 12.2

Shot Accuracy 32.8%

Avg. xG 1.51

Possession 49%

Home vs Away Performance

Atletico Madrid show a strong home advantage with a 75% home win rate (3W in 4 games) vs 25% on the road (1W in 4 games). At home, they score 2.8 goals/game and concede 1.2, while away they score 1.5 and concede 2.5. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 75%

Away Win Rate 25%

Home Goals/Game 2.8

Away Goals/Game 1.5

Goal Distribution

Atletico Madrid's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 41% coming before half-time and 59% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 22% of goals.

15%

0-15'

11%

16-30'

15%

31-45'

19%

46-60'

19%

61-75'

22%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 41%

2nd Half Goals 59%

Peak Period 76-90 min (22%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Atletico Madrid's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.9 (scored 1.5 + conceded 1.4). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 60% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

BTTS Rate 60%