Motherwell Predictions & Analysis

Scotland Founded: 1886 MOT

Underperforming Attack Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

Motherwell's recent results have underperformed their underlying chance creation. The team averages 1.81 xG but scores only 1.0 goals per game, suggesting inefficient finishing in recent fixtures (0.81 goals below expected per match). Home form has been stronger (40% home win rate vs 0% away), scoring 0.8 goals per game at home. Across the last 10 matches, a 20% win rate underscores the gap between results and chance creation.

Performance Insights

Finishing Gap — 1.81 xG vs 1.0 goals/game (-0.81 below expected)
Home Strength — 40% home win rate, scoring 0.8 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 40% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Motherwell's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

D W D L L

Win Rate

20%

Record (Last 10)

2W 2D 6L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Motherwell Matches

Scotland. Premiership (1)

20:00

Motherwell

- - -

Rangers

N/A

xG: N/A

Recent Results & Statistics for Motherwell (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Motherwell Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 10

Goals Conceded 17

Avg. Goals Scored 1.0

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.7

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 2

Draws 2

Losses 6

Win Rate 20%

Home (5) 2W 0D 3L

Away (5) 0W 2D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 4/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 40% (4/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 30%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 50%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 10 recent Motherwell matches, achieving a 40% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (60% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (20%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 40%

Home Accuracy 60%

Away Accuracy 20%

Attacking Trends

Motherwell average 1.0 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 14.6 shots per game with 5.1 on target (34.9% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.81 exceeds their actual 1.0 goals, suggesting some wasteful finishing. With 55% average possession, Motherwell employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 1.0

Avg. Shots 14.6

Shot Accuracy 34.9%

Avg. xG 1.81

Possession 55%

Home vs Away Performance

Motherwell show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 40% home win rate (2W) vs 0% away (0W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 1.6, while away they score 1.2 and concede 1.8. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 40%

Away Win Rate 0%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 1.2

Goal Distribution

Motherwell's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 52% coming before half-time and 48% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 21% of goals.

17%

0-15'

21%

16-30'

14%

31-45'

21%

46-60'

14%

61-75'

14%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 52%

2nd Half Goals 48%

Peak Period 16-30 min (21%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Motherwell's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.7 (scored 1.0 + conceded 1.7). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

BTTS Rate 40%