AZ Alkmaar Predictions & Analysis

Netherlands Founded: 1967 ALK

Underperforming Attack Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

AZ Alkmaar's recent results have underperformed their underlying chance creation. The team averages 2.03 xG but scores only 1.4 goals per game, suggesting inefficient finishing in recent fixtures (0.63 goals below expected per match). Home form has been stronger (60% home win rate vs 20% away), scoring 1.6 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Gap — 2.03 xG vs 1.4 goals/game (-0.63 below expected)
Home Strength — 60% home win rate, scoring 1.6 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 40% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore AZ Alkmaar's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W L L L W

Win Rate

40%

Record (Last 10)

4W 1D 5L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming AZ Alkmaar Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for AZ Alkmaar (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 14

Goals Conceded 14

Avg. Goals Scored 1.4

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.4

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 4

Draws 1

Losses 5

Win Rate 40%

Home (5) 3W 0D 2L

Away (5) 1W 1D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.8

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 8/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 80% (8/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 80%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 60%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 8 out of 10 recent AZ Alkmaar matches, achieving a 80% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (80%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 80%

Home Accuracy 80%

Away Accuracy 80%

Attacking Trends

AZ Alkmaar average 1.4 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 14.9 shots per game with 5.0 on target (33.6% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 2.03 exceeds their actual 1.4 goals, suggesting some wasteful finishing. With 57% average possession, AZ Alkmaar employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 1.4

Avg. Shots 14.9

Shot Accuracy 33.6%

Avg. xG 2.03

Possession 57%

Home vs Away Performance

AZ Alkmaar show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 60% home win rate (3W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 1.6 goals/game and concede 1.6, while away they score 1.2 and concede 1.2. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 60%

Away Win Rate 20%

Home Goals/Game 1.6

Away Goals/Game 1.2

Goal Distribution

AZ Alkmaar's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 30% coming before half-time and 70% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 35% of goals. Notably, 35% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

11%

0-15'

11%

16-30'

31-45'

20%

46-60'

15%

61-75'

35%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 30%

2nd Half Goals 70%

Peak Period 76-90 min (35%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In AZ Alkmaar's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.8 (scored 1.4 + conceded 1.4). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.8

BTTS Rate 40%