Predictions / Football / USA. USL League One / Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne

Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne Prediction

Model lean is not a Primary bet — one answer only below.

Oct 08, 2026 - 00:30
1.32 1.28

No Primary Bet 3.0/10

Model Signal · Corpus Christi (36.1%)

Reason Edge Below Threshold

The estimated edge does not meet the Primary threshold.

Other factors
  • Calibration Risk
Consensus EV —
Decision Model vs Market Gap 0.0 pp
Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
Prediction Overview

Base Prediction Model

Raw match outcome probabilities from the xG-based scoring model.

Corpus Christi
38%
Draw
26%
Fort Wayne
36%

Decision Model vs Market

Decision Model36.1%
Market (no-vig)—
Difference+0.0 pp

No decisive market alignment yet

Why Is The Bet Blocked?

Positive factors

  • ✓
    Clear directional model signal: Corpus Christi

Risk factors

  • ✗
    Elevated xG uncertaintyModel confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty

Market Intelligence

No market-move signal tracked for this fixture yet.

Market Decisions (Model vs Market)

1X2 Model EV

Lean
Corpus Christi
Model probability
36.1%
Market probability
—
Difference
—
Risk-adjusted EV (P1.5)
—
No Value Edge

Over / Under 2.5

Lean
Under 2.5
Model probability (Under)
51.8%
Market probability (Under)
—
Difference
—
Risk-adjusted EV
—
No Value Edge
Total Goals (Model)
7.4%
0
19.3%
1
25.1%
2
21.8%
3
26.4%
4+

BTTS (Yes)

Lean
Yes
Model probability
54.5%
Market probability
—
Difference
—
Risk-adjusted EV
—
No Value Edge

Correct Score

Top Score
1-1
Model probability (1-1)
12.5%
Market probability (1-1)
—
Difference
—
EV @ Market Odds
—
No Value
Top 5 Model Scores
  • 1-1 12.5%
  • 1-0 9.8%
  • 0-1 9.5%
  • 2-1 8.3%
  • 1-2 8.0%

Match Phase: Upcoming

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Waiting for closing line

  1. Prediction Generated
  2. Market Compared
    Entry Pending
  3. Validation Passed
  4. Closing Recorded
    Closing Waiting Expected before kickoff
  5. CLV Evaluated
    CLV Pending

Final Verdict

No Primary Bet

The Decision Model estimates Corpus Christi at 36.1%, compared with a no-vig market probability of —%.

Decision Summary
  • Decision Model identifies Corpus Christi as the value side (36.1%)
  • No decisive market conflict on direction
  • Edge does not clear Primary threshold
  • Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty
Action

Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.

OddsGPT Decision Engine 2.5.0 · Educational framing only · Not personalised advice

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