Predictions / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D / FS Třebíč vs Tatran Bohunice

FS Třebíč vs Tatran Bohunice Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 08, 2026 - 08:30
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Tatran Bohunice ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D
  • Fixture: FS Třebíč vs Tatran Bohunice
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): FS Třebíč 1.45 — Tatran Bohunice 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 54.4% · Over 2.5 45.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 56.1% · No 43.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 56.1% · No 43.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (13.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

The cards may still show value leans (e.g. a preferred Under or a BTTS side) where prices are inefficient or incomplete — that is not the same as a positive-EV ticket at the configured threshold.

Stake sizing should default to zero when no headline +EV exists — experimentation belongs in the discretionary bucket only.

FAQ

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 23, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie D 4. liga - Divizie DStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Líšeň II 26 19 4 3 61
2 Tatran Bohunice 27 16 6 5 54
3 Kuřim 26 14 7 5 49
4 Velká Bíteš 26 12 6 8 42
5 Znojmo 27 11 6 10 39
6 Ždírec nad Doubravou 26 11 6 9 39
7 Žďár nad Sázavou 26 10 6 10 36
8 Velké Meziříčí 26 9 7 10 34
9 Pelhřimov 26 9 7 10 34
10 Sokol Tasovice 26 9 6 11 33
11 Sparta Brno 26 9 4 13 31
12 Chotebor 26 9 4 13 31
13 Humpolec 26 8 4 14 28
14 Havlíčkův Brod 26 6 6 14 24
15 Dálnice Speřice 26 7 3 16 24
16 FS Třebíč 26 4 10 12 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Líšeň II 26 77 24 +53 61
2 Velká Bíteš 26 51 36 +15 42
3 Sparta Brno 26 49 45 +4 31
4 Kuřim 26 47 25 +22 49
5 Znojmo 27 44 34 +10 39
6 Velké Meziříčí 26 43 45 -2 34
7 Humpolec 26 41 46 -5 28
8 Pelhřimov 26 41 50 -9 34
9 Sokol Tasovice 26 38 53 -15 33
10 Tatran Bohunice 27 35 21 +14 54
11 Havlíčkův Brod 26 34 44 -10 24
12 Žďár nad Sázavou 26 30 34 -4 36
13 Chotebor 26 29 49 -20 31
14 Ždírec nad Doubravou 26 28 30 -2 39
15 FS Třebíč 26 28 55 -27 22
16 Dálnice Speřice 26 22 46 -24 24