Forecast Assessment
Reliable forecast
- Favourite
- Colchester Slight favourite
- Model probability
- 52.1%
- Market agreement
- —
- Validation
- Pending
Summary:
The model leans Colchester, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.
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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Colchester Colchester ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct
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League Two — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge United | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford City | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon Town | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington ST | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport County | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate Town | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 36 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 86 | 45 | +41 | 86 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 46 | 74 | 50 | +24 | 78 |
| 3 | Notts County | 46 | 74 | 52 | +22 | 80 |
| 4 | Bromley | 46 | 71 | 46 | +25 | 87 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 46 | 71 | 56 | +15 | 79 |
| 6 | Barnet | 46 | 70 | 53 | +17 | 76 |
| 7 | Swindon Town | 46 | 70 | 59 | +11 | 75 |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 46 | 66 | 33 | +33 | 82 |
| 9 | Crewe | 46 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 67 |
| 10 | Colchester | 46 | 62 | 49 | +13 | 66 |
| 11 | Salford City | 46 | 61 | 51 | +10 | 81 |
| 12 | Oldham | 46 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 68 |
| 13 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 61 |
| 14 | Walsall | 46 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 65 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 62 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 46 | 54 | 79 | -25 | 41 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 53 | 79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Newport County | 46 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 43 |
| 20 | Accrington ST | 46 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 21 | Barrow | 46 | 45 | 78 | -33 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 49 |
| 24 | Harrogate Town | 46 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 39 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 46 | 19.8 | 12.4 | +7.4 | 76 |
| 2 | Salford City | 46 | 21.4 | 14.7 | +6.7 | 81 |
| 3 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 17.6 | 11.5 | +6.1 | 86 |
| 4 | Notts County | 46 | 16.0 | 10.7 | +5.3 | 80 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 46 | 18.3 | 13.1 | +5.2 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 46 | 18.6 | 14.2 | +4.4 | 78 |
| 7 | Colchester | 46 | 17.5 | 14.6 | +2.9 | 66 |
| 8 | Walsall | 46 | 20.9 | 18.1 | +2.8 | 65 |
| 9 | Bromley | 46 | 23.2 | 21.3 | +1.9 | 87 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18.0 | 16.4 | +1.6 | 68 |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 46 | 14.1 | 12.8 | +1.3 | 53 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | 17.4 | 17.3 | +0.1 | 40 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 46 | 21.6 | 21.6 | 0.0 | 53 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 46 | 19.9 | 19.9 | 0.0 | 75 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 0.0 | 62 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19.1 | 20.1 | -1.0 | 79 |
| 17 | Crewe | 46 | 19.8 | 20.9 | -1.1 | 67 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 14.9 | 16.6 | -1.7 | 61 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 10.4 | 14.0 | -3.6 | 49 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 46 | 12.9 | 16.8 | -3.9 | 52 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 15.3 | 19.4 | -4.1 | 41 |
| 22 | Barrow | 46 | 16.7 | 22.2 | -5.5 | 36 |
| 23 | Newport County | 46 | 12.6 | 22.8 | -10.2 | 43 |
| 24 | Harrogate Town | 46 | 11.5 | 26.0 | -14.5 | 39 |