Forecast Assessment
Reliable forecast
- Favourite
- Jagiellonia Slight favourite
- Model probability
- 49.2%
- Market agreement
- —
- Validation
- Pending
Summary:
The model leans Jagiellonia, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.
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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect
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Ekstraklasa — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56 |
| 4 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 18 | Nieciecza | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 62 | 45 | +17 | 60 |
| 2 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 38 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 56 | 41 | +15 | 56 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 44 |
| 5 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 51 | 40 | +11 | 55 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 51 | 45 | +6 | 50 |
| 7 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 56 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
| 10 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 48 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 34 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 34 |
| 12 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 42 | 37 | +5 | 49 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 43 |
| 16 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 42 |
| 17 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 46 |
| 18 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 36 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 61.0 | 37.8 | +23.2 | 60 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 46.6 | 35.5 | +11.1 | 49 |
| 3 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 52.6 | 43.7 | +8.9 | 55 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 46.1 | 40.2 | +5.9 | 56 |
| 5 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 51.5 | 46.0 | +5.5 | 38 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 45.8 | 40.9 | +4.9 | 41 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 53.4 | 49.1 | +4.3 | 45 |
| 8 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 39.5 | 36.4 | +3.1 | 42 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 38.9 | 37.5 | +1.4 | 42 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 44.9 | 45.4 | -0.5 | 46 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 49.9 | 51.2 | -1.3 | 43 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 42.0 | 46.5 | -4.5 | 50 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 42.7 | 48.4 | -5.7 | 44 |
| 14 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 44.4 | 50.6 | -6.2 | 56 |
| 15 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 35.7 | 44.8 | -9.1 | 48 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 36.6 | 49.7 | -13.1 | 36 |
| 17 | Nieciecza | 34 | 44.5 | 58.1 | -13.6 | 34 |
| 18 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 40.0 | 54.5 | -14.5 | 43 |