Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB I / Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
Feb 01, 2026 - 18:45 HT
0
0
43% 25% 31%
Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza

Forecast Assessment

Reliable forecast

Favourite
Zalaegerszegi TE Balanced match
Model probability
43.2%
Market probability
46.1%
Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass

Summary:

The model and market both lean Zalaegerszegi TE, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Nyiregyhaza remain plausible — this is a relatively open match.

Market Move Intelligence

Current move
Zalaegerszegi TE ↑ +5.1% 1.95 → 2.05
Move type
⚠️ Volatile market
Steam Score
33C
Limited conviction
Market breadth
7/13
Phase
Volatile
Ref book
Bet365
CLV validation
Waiting for Close

Largest move today

Odds path — Zalaegerszegi TE

🐢 Slow drift over 135h 26m

Open 2.07
Low / High 1.91
Current 2.05

Market Narrative

Volatile two-way pricing on Zalaegerszegi TE (swing 2.07 → 1.91 → 2.05) — net 5.1% but intraday chop is elevated.

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Market Audit

Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass
Largest gap
Nyiregyhaza +5.2 pp
Breadth
7/13
Current market activity
Zalaegerszegi TE odds lengthened ↑ +5.1%.

Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.

Market Assessment

The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Nyiregyhaza.

However, Zalaegerszegi TE has seen drift — odds lengthened by 5.1%, suggesting weakening support.

Drift away from Zalaegerszegi TE — odds lengthened by 5.1% (weakening support).

  • Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Outcome Fair Market Edge
Zalaegerszegi TE 43.23% 46.08% -2.9 pp
Draw 25.46% 27.86% -2.4 pp
Nyiregyhaza 31.32% 26.07% +5.2 pp

Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.

Final betting verdict

No default bet at standard thresholds — use leans for context only.

  • No value on 1X2 (Zalaegerszegi TE vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Model lean (not a default bet): BTTS Yes
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Low conviction (4/10) — prefer smaller stakes or skip.
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1X2 ❌ No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 43.2% Zalaegerszegi TE; Market consensus (3-way) 46.1%; Consensus-line EV -12.0%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
⭐ Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 56.4% · No 43.6%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Pass
Over 2.5 51.1% · Under 2.5 48.9%
Value lean: Over 2.5
1X2 Poor value
Zalaegerszegi TE · Model probability 43.2%
Market consensus (3-way) 46.1%
Consensus-line EV: -12.0%
Best available bookmaker line: -3.7% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

Zalaegerszegi TE market context before kickoff

⚠️ Volatile market on Zalaegerszegi TE

Odds move
1.95 → 2.05 (↑ +5.1%)
Market breadth
7/13
Steam score
33 (C)
Current status
Market repriced — no remaining value detected on tracked lines at consensus.

Steam detected. Current price appears fully adjusted.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Market monitoring

  1. Forecast Generated
  2. Market Compared
  3. Validation Passed
  4. Closing Recorded
  5. CLV Evaluated
Entry
3.5
Closing
Pending
CLV
Pending
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.2.0 Continuously refined using model performance, market data and historical results.
Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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NB I NB I — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyori ETO FC 33 20 9 4 69
2 Ferencvarosi TC 33 21 5 7 68
3 Paks 33 15 8 10 53
4 Debreceni VSC 33 14 11 8 53
5 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 13 9 11 48
6 Puskas Academy 33 13 7 13 46
7 Ujpest 33 11 7 15 40
8 Kisvarda FC 33 11 7 15 40
9 Nyiregyhaza 33 10 10 13 40
10 MTK Budapest 33 9 11 13 38
11 Diosgyori VTK 33 6 10 17 28
12 Kazincbarcikai 33 6 4 23 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ferencvarosi TC 33 67 31 +36 68
2 Gyori ETO FC 33 65 30 +35 69
3 Paks 33 63 46 +17 53
4 MTK Budapest 33 55 62 -7 38
5 Debreceni VSC 33 51 41 +10 53
6 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 49 43 +6 48
7 Ujpest 33 48 57 -9 40
8 Nyiregyhaza 33 47 57 -10 40
9 Puskas Academy 33 43 43 0 46
10 Diosgyori VTK 33 39 65 -26 28
11 Kisvarda FC 33 36 49 -13 40
12 Kazincbarcikai 33 31 70 -39 22
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Ferencvarosi TC 33 20.8 11.2 +9.6 68
2 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 15.9 15.2 +0.7 48
3 Ujpest 33 15.3 14.8 +0.5 40
4 Gyori ETO FC 33 2.3 2.2 +0.1 69
5 Paks 33 16.4 16.4 0.0 53
6 Puskas Academy 33 14.3 15.0 -0.7 46
7 MTK Budapest 33 18.3 19.1 -0.8 38
8 Kisvarda FC 33 13.9 15.8 -1.9 40
9 Debreceni VSC 33 15.3 18.8 -3.5 53
10 Diosgyori VTK 33 14.2 18.1 -3.9 28
11 Nyiregyhaza 33 — — — 40
12 Kazincbarcikai 33 — — — 22
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