Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (4 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — Draw — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 2-2 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Oct 25, 2025 · 21:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Draw · 2–2
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Portland Hearts of Pine 2–2 Alta
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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USL League One — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Knoxville | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 57 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 55 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | Naples | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Tormenta | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 45 |
| 7 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 |
| 9 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 36 |
| 10 | Forward Madison | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 35 |
| 11 | Greenville Triumph | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 12 | Texoma | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 29 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tormenta | 30 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 45 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 51 | 39 | +12 | 46 |
| 3 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 48 | 38 | +10 | 45 |
| 4 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 37 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 43 | 26 | +17 | 57 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 29 |
| 7 | Westchester SC | 30 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 24 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 55 |
| 9 | Alta | 30 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 51 |
| 11 | Naples | 30 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 47 |
| 12 | Greenville Triumph | 30 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Texoma | 30 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 30 |
| 14 | Forward Madison | 30 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
