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Aldershot Town Carlisle

Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00 England. National League

AI Value Price Scanner

Selected Market
Carlisle
AI Model Probability
43.3%
AI Match Lean
Carlisle
Best Available Price
2.02 @ Pinnacle
-12.5% AI Price Edge

AI Model View

Carlisle

Model probability
43.3%
OddsGPT Fair Odds
2.31

Model-only valuation — Based on OddsGPT model probability before market adjustment.

Market View

Consensus Odds
1.98
Raw Market Implied Probability
50.5%
No-vig Market Probability
46.5%

Model-Market Gap

-3.2 percentage points

Market Disagreement Level Normal

Selected Market: Carlisle

AI Match Lean: Carlisle (43.3%)

Probability Advantage
-3.2 percentage points (Model probability 43.3% vs No-vig market probability 46.5%)
Consensus AI Price Edge
-14.2% @ Market consensus 1.98
Based on: Model probability × Consensus odds − 1 Reference: 1.98 consensus price

AI Model

Carlisle

Model probability
43.3%
OddsGPT Fair Odds
2.31
Market consensus
1.98
Model Forecast Strength
Moderate
Pricing Convergence
High
Model probability 43.3% · Market implied probability 50.5%
Model Probability Gap
-3.2 percentage points

Model vs Market

Probability
OddsGPT AI 43.3%
Raw Market Probability 50.5%
No-vig Market Probability 46.5%
Difference -3.2 percentage points
Available Prices
Best Available Price
Pinnacle 2.02 -12.5% AI Price Edge
Consensus AI Price Edge: -14.2% (Prediction page uses a separate Risk-Adjusted Decision EV. This page displays raw price edge only.)
Bookmaker Odds vs Market AI Price Edge Action
Pinnacle 2.02 +2% vs market -12.5%
1xBet 2.02 +2% vs market -12.5% View
Betano 2.02 +2% vs market -12.5%
BetVictor 2.0 +1% vs market -13.4%
Betfair 1.95 -2% vs market -15.5%
William Hill 1.95 -2% vs market -15.5%
Bet365 1.95 -2% vs market -15.5%
Marathonbet 1.93 -2% vs market -16.4%

AI Price Edge = model probability × available odds − 1. Consensus AI Price Edge = model probability × consensus odds − 1. The prediction page uses a separate Risk-Adjusted Decision EV, which applies market calibration and decision filters before Primary Bet evaluation.

Large AI Price Edge values vs the prediction page usually reflect different metrics (raw price edge here vs Risk-Adjusted Decision EV on the prediction page). They may also indicate model–market disagreement or pricing inefficiency — not a guaranteed profit.

This page compares prices only. It does not recommend a bet size or confirm a Primary Bet. Large AI Price Edge values represent model-market disagreement, not guaranteed betting opportunities.

AI Correct Score Value Scanner

Score Model Fair Odds Best Market Price Edge
1-1 12.3% 8.13 9.45 · 1xBet +16.2%
0-1 10.9% 9.17 13.4 · 1xBet +46.1%
1-2 9.1% 10.99 10.2 · 1xBet -7.2%

Low-liquidity market. Correct score prices can vary widely between bookmakers and may carry higher margins or stake limits.