Benfica
Guimaraes
Portugal. Primeira Liga
AI Value Price Scanner
AI Model View
Guimaraes
- Model probability
- 19.0%
- OddsGPT Fair Odds
- 5.26
Model-only valuation — Based on OddsGPT model probability before market adjustment.
Market View
- Consensus Odds
- 11.0
- Raw Market Implied Probability
- 9.1%
Model-Market Gap
+9.9 percentage points
Market Disagreement Level Moderate
Selected Market: Guimaraes
AI Match Lean: Benfica (55.2%)
- Probability Advantage
- +9.9 percentage points
- Consensus AI Price Edge
- +109.1% @ Market consensus 11.0
Market Context
Market move detected
- Odds moved
- 10.0 → 12.0 ↑ +20.0%
- Market breadth
- 8/9
- Market Direction
- ⚠ Conflicts with AI model
Market Movement
Guimaraes
10.0 → 12.0 ↑ +20.0%
- Sharp signal
- 75 (A+)
- Market breadth
- 8/9
- Reference book
- Bet365
- Market View
- Market drift
The AI model and market-implied probability diverge sharply. This reflects model–market disagreement, not a guaranteed betting opportunity.
- Normal (0–5%)
- Moderate (5–15%)
- Strong Disagreement (15–30%)
- Extreme Disagreement (>30%)
AI Model
Guimaraes
- Model probability
- 19.0%
- OddsGPT Fair Odds
- 5.26
- Market consensus
- 11.0
- Model Forecast Strength
- Moderate
- Market Direction
- ⚠ Conflicts with AI model
- Pricing Convergence
- Moderate
- Model probability 19.0% · Market implied probability 9.1%
- Model Probability Gap
- +9.9 percentage points
Model vs Market
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| OddsGPT AI | 19.0% |
| Raw Market Probability | 9.1% |
| Difference | +9.9 percentage points |
| Bookmaker | Odds | vs Market | AI Price Edge | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 13.3 | +21% vs market | +152.8% | View |
| Betfair | 12.0 | +9% vs market | +128.1% | |
| Bet365 | 12.0 | +9% vs market | +128.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 11.75 | +7% vs market | +123.3% | |
| William Hill | 11.0 | +0% vs market | +109.1% | |
| Dafabet | 11.0 | +0% vs market | +109.1% | View |
| Betano | 11.0 | +0% vs market | +109.1% | |
| BetVictor | 11.0 | +0% vs market | +109.1% | |
| SBO | 7.91 | -28% vs market | +50.3% |
AI Price Edge = model probability × available odds − 1. Consensus AI Price Edge = model probability × consensus odds − 1. The prediction page uses a separate Risk-Adjusted Decision EV, which applies market calibration and decision filters before Primary Bet evaluation.
Large AI Price Edge values vs the prediction page usually reflect different metrics (raw price edge here vs Risk-Adjusted Decision EV on the prediction page). They may also indicate model–market disagreement or pricing inefficiency — not a guaranteed profit.
This page compares prices only. It does not recommend a bet size or confirm a Primary Bet. Large AI Price Edge values represent model-market disagreement, not guaranteed betting opportunities.
AI Correct Score Value Scanner
| Score | Model | Fair Odds | Best Market | Price Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 11.0% | 9.09 | 9.0 · Betfair | -1.0% |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | 9.17 | 12.5 · Betano | +36.2% |
| 2-0 | 10.0% | 10.0 | 7.0 · Bet365 | -30.0% |
Low-liquidity market. Correct score prices can vary widely between bookmakers and may carry higher margins or stake limits.
