Today's Summary
2
Significant Movements
Avg Move
2.0%
Market Movement - Argentina - Reserve League
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 2.0% move).
- Strongest steam: Rosario Central Res. vs Unión Santa Fe Res. (0.0%, 8 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★★
☆
Healthy market
High liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 40% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +6.5%
- 2 ↑ +3.3%
Biggest Steam
-
Central Córdoba SdE Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. ↑ +6.5% Steam 22
-
2
Platense Res. vs Huracán Res. ↑ +3.3% Steam 9
Highest Breadth
- 1
-
2
Platense Res. vs Huracán Res. ↑ +3.3% 1/8
Most Books Agree
- 1
-
2
Platense Res. vs Huracán Res. ↑ +3.3%
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
-
2
Platense Res. vs Huracán Res. ↑ +3.3%
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba SdE Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. | Newell's Old Boys Res. | Central Córdoba SdE Res. ↑ +6.5% | -6.0 pp | Market Ahead |
| Platense Res. vs Huracán Res. | Huracán Res. | Draw ↑ +3.3% | +4.3 pp | Aligned |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(5) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central Res. vs Unión Santa Fe Res. Reserve League · Wed 18:00 | Rosario Central Res. | 2.0 |
2.0
kickoff in 58m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.10 → 1.93 → 2.00 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +1.5%
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Rosario Central Res. (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 8.4% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Central Córdoba SdE Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. Reserve League · Wed 22:00 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 3.1 |
3.3
since pub · 16h 4m |
↑ +6.5%
3.1
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 16h 4m 3.62 → 3.10 → 3.30 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
2/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +6.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +6.1%
|
Steam Score:
22
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +14/45
Book synchronization: +8/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Central Córdoba SdE Res. (swing 3.62 → 3.10 → 3.30) — net 6.5% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Instituto Res. vs Racing Club Res. Reserve League · Wed 18:00 | Instituto Res. | 2.4 |
2.4
kickoff in 58m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.59 → 2.30 → 2.40 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +1.2%
Betano
↑ +1.2%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
22
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Instituto Res. (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 11.9% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Independiente Riva. Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Reserve League · Wed 18:00 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 2.88 |
2.88
since pub · 19h 50m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.88 → 2.50 → 2.88 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -1.4%
William Hill
↑ +0.8%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
19
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Independiente Riva. Res. (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 14.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Platense Res. vs Huracán Res. Reserve League · Wed 18:00 | Draw | 3.0 |
3.1
since pub · 16h 4m |
↑ +3.3%
3.0
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 16h 4m 3.34 → 2.70 → 3.10 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
1/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
9
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +7/45
Book synchronization: +4/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 3.34 → 2.70 → 3.10) — net 3.3% but intraday chop is elevated. |
