Market Movement - Sweden - Division 2 Södra Götaland
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Staffanstorp United vs Sölvesborg (4.4%).
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 50% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
Not enough completed fixtures with meaningful repricing in the last 30 days.
Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Sweden) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 26 while bookmaker consensus averaged 88% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Sweden - Division 2 Södra Götaland has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 26. Typical line moves averaged —% and the largest swing reached —%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staffanstorp United vs Sölvesborg Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Fri 17:00 | Sölvesborg | 2.25 |
2.35
since pub · 13h 45m |
↑ +4.4%
2.25
2.35
🐢 Slow drift over 13h 45m 2.68 → 2.25 → 2.35 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↑ +12.9%
1xBet
↑ +8.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.4%
Betano
↑ +4.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.9%
|
Steam Score:
42
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +10/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Sölvesborg (4.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Lilla Torg vs Nosaby Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Fri 17:00 | Lilla Torg | 2.3 |
2.3
since pub · 13h 45m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.50 → 2.13 → 2.30 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
3/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
9
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Lilla Torg (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 16.0% — price repriced then reverted. |