Market Movement - Sweden - Division 2 Södra Svealand
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 0.0% move).
- Strongest steam: Farsta vs Fittja (0.0%, 5 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 0% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsta vs Fittja Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Fri 18:00 | Farsta | 1.4 |
1.4
since pub · 13h 45m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.47 → 1.33 → 1.40 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/5
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
14
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Farsta (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 10.0% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Smedby vs Nyköping Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Fri 17:00 | Smedby | 2.8 |
2.8
since pub · 13h 45m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 3.12 → 2.76 → 2.80 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
2/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
4
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Smedby (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 12.2% — price repriced then reverted. |