Market Movement - Slovakia - 2. liga
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.3% move).
- Strongest steam: Žilina II vs Galanta (10.5%, 9 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 25% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +12.5%
- 2 ↓ -10.5%
Biggest Steam
-
Žilina II vs Galanta ↓ -10.5% Steam 62
-
2
Malženice vs Inter Bratislava ↑ +12.5% Steam 47
Highest Breadth
-
1
Malženice vs Inter Bratislava ↑ +12.5% 8/9
-
2
Žilina II vs Galanta ↓ -10.5% 7/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Malženice vs Inter Bratislava ↑ +12.5%
-
2
Žilina II vs Galanta ↓ -10.5%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Malženice vs Inter Bratislava ↑ +12.5%
-
2
Žilina II vs Galanta ↓ -10.5%
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malženice vs Inter Bratislava 2. liga · Sun 08:30 | Inter Bratislava | 2.4 |
2.7
kickoff in 4h 2m |
↑ +12.5%
2.4
2.7
🐢 Slow drift over 93h 30m 2.77 → 2.40 → 2.70 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.5%
BetVictor
↑ +10.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +10.2%
1xBet
↑ +8.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.6%
Dafabet
↑ +7.8%
Betano
↑ +6.7%
William Hill
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
47
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest move today | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Inter Bratislava (12.5%, 8/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Žilina II vs FC Slovan Galanta 2. liga · Sun 08:30 | FC Slovan Galanta | 3.8 |
3.4
kickoff in 4h 2m |
↓ -10.5%
3.8
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 87h 12m 4.10 → 3.30 → 3.40 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↓ -11.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -10.5%
BetVictor
↓ -10.3%
Betano
↓ -10.1%
1xBet
↓ -6.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -6.4%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -5.3%
|
Steam Score:
62
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +23/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest underdog steam | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on FC Slovan Galanta (10.5%, 7/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Slovan Bratislava II vs Liptovský Mikuláš 2. liga · Sun 08:30 | Slovan Bratislava II | 2.4 |
2.45
kickoff in 4h 2m |
↑ +2.1%
2.4
2.45
— Stable line 2.61 → 2.40 → 2.45 |
📉 Weakening |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.9%
1xBet
↑ +6.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.2%
William Hill
↑ +4.2%
BetVictor
↑ +4.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +2.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.0%
Dafabet
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
36
C
Limited conviction
Allungamento modesto — considerare come monitoraggio della deriva piuttosto che steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +5/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Scoperta | Waiting for Close | Market fading Slovan Bratislava II (2.1%) — line drifting longer vs. open (8/9). |
| Šamorín vs Petržalka 2. liga · Sun 13:00 | Šamorín | 2.25 |
2.25
kickoff in 8h 32m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.54 → 2.25 → 2.25 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
1
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Šamorín (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 12.1% — price repriced then reverted. |