Market Movement - Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 4 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.2% move).
- Strongest steam: VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ (7.1%, 10 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +8.3%
- 2 ↑ +7.1%
- 3 ↑ +5.6%
Biggest Steam
-
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ ↑ +7.1% Steam 45
-
2
Den Bosch vs FC OSS ↑ +8.3% Steam 37
-
3
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse ↑ +4.0% Steam 25
Highest Breadth
-
1
Den Bosch vs FC OSS ↑ +8.3% 7/10
-
2
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ ↑ +7.1% 6/10
-
3
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse ↑ +4.0% 4/10
Most Books Agree
-
1
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ ↑ +7.1%
-
2
Den Bosch vs FC OSS ↑ +8.3%
-
3
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse ↑ +4.0%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Den Bosch vs FC OSS ↑ +8.3%
-
2
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ ↑ +7.1%
-
3
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda ↑ +5.6%
📊 今日最佳優勢
開賽前最大的公平與市場差距 — AI價值方與資金流向的比較。
| Match | AI優勢 | 市場變動 | 優勢 | 狀態 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 赫爾蒙德體育 vs NAC布雷達 | NAC布雷達 | Draw ↑ +5.6% | -13.4 pp | 市場強勢領先 |
| VVV芬洛 vs 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 | VVV芬洛 | 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 ↑ +7.1% | -9.8 pp | 市場領先 |
| 登博斯 vs FC 奧斯 | 登博斯 | Draw ↑ +8.3% | -9.0 pp | 市場領先 |
| FC 埃因霍溫 vs 維特斯 | 維特斯 | Draw ↑ +4.0% | +5.0 pp | 一致 |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV芬洛 vs 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 | 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 | ↑ +7.1% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 6/10 | Steam Score: 45 B |
| 登博斯 vs FC 奧斯 | Draw | ↑ +8.3% | ↘ Drift | 7/10 | Steam Score: 37 C |
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV芬洛 vs 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 荷蘭乙級聯賽 · Fri 18:00 | 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 | 2.8 |
3.0
kickoff in 12h 18m |
↑ +7.1%
2.8
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 50m 3.00 → 2.53 → 3.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
6/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.1%
1xBet
↑ +4.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.4%
Betano
↑ +3.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.8%
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +16/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過,哪裡可能存在正期望值(+EV),以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 阿爾克馬爾青年隊 (7.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 登博斯 vs FC 奧斯 荷蘭乙級聯賽 · Fri 18:00 | Draw | 4.0 |
4.33
kickoff in 12h 18m |
↑ +8.3%
4.0
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 71h 18m 4.34 → 3.80 → 4.33 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +8.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.6%
1xBet
↑ +3.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.7%
William Hill
↑ +2.6%
Betano
↑ +2.4%
Dafabet
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
37
C
Limited conviction
輕微拉長 — 視為漂移追蹤而非急升。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過,哪裡可能存在正期望值(+EV),以及快速變動警告。 |
Largest move today | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (8.3%, 7/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| FC 埃因霍溫 vs 維特斯 荷蘭乙級聯賽 · Fri 18:00 | Draw | 3.75 |
3.9
kickoff in 12h 18m |
↑ +4.0%
3.75
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 50m 4.05 → 3.30 → 3.90 |
⚠️ Volatile market |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.7%
William Hill
↑ +4.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.0%
Betano
↑ +4.0%
|
Steam Score:
25
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過,哪裡可能存在正期望值(+EV),以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 波動性 | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 4.05 → 3.30 → 3.90) — net 4.0% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| 赫爾蒙德體育 vs NAC布雷達 荷蘭乙級聯賽 · Fri 18:00 | Draw | 4.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 12h 18m |
↑ +5.6%
4.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 50m 5.00 → 4.10 → 4.75 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
1/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.6%
|
Steam Score:
13
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +3/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過,哪裡可能存在正期望值(+EV),以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 波動性 | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 5.00 → 4.10 → 4.75) — net 5.6% but intraday chop is elevated. |