Today's Summary
3
Significant Movements
Avg Move
6.2%
Market Movement - Italy - Serie C Girone A
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.2% move).
- Strongest steam: Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (9.9%, 9 books).
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★
☆☆☆
Thin / volatile
Moderate liquidity · Low consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 25% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +9.9%
- 2 ↓ -8.3%
- 3 ↓ -6.5%
Biggest Steam
-
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi ↑ +9.9% Steam 34
-
2
Novara vs Cittadella ↓ -8.3% Steam 30
-
3
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Juventus U23 ↓ -6.5% Steam 26
Highest Breadth
-
1
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Juventus U23 ↓ -6.5% 3/9
-
2
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi ↑ +9.9% 2/9
-
3
Novara vs Cittadella ↓ -8.3% 2/9
Most Books Agree
- 1
-
2
Novara vs Cittadella ↓ -8.3%
- 3
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
-
2
Novara vs Cittadella ↓ -8.3%
- 3
League Intelligence (30 days)
4
Matches Tracked
24.0
Avg Steam
6.2%
Avg Move
9.9%
Biggest Move
Serie C - Girone A (Italy) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 24.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 28% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Italy - Serie C Girone A has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 24.0. Typical line moves averaged 6.2% and the largest swing reached 9.9%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara vs Cittadella | Cittadella | Novara ↓ -8.3% | -7.0 pp | Market Ahead |
| Arzignano Valchiampo vs Juventus U23 | Juventus U23 | Juventus U23 ↓ -6.5% | +3.4 pp | Aligned |
| Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi | Dolomiti Bellunesi | Desenzano Calvina ↑ +9.9% | +2.7 pp | Aligned |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Serie C - Girone A · Sat 15:30 | Desenzano Calvina | 1.91 |
2.1
since pub · 33h 36m |
↑ +9.9%
1.91
2.1
🐢 Slow drift over 33h 36m 2.20 → 1.91 → 2.10 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +9.9%
Betano
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
34
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Desenzano Calvina (9.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Novara vs Cittadella Serie C - Girone A · Sat 15:30 | Novara | 3.0 |
2.75
since pub · 37h 30m |
↓ -8.3%
3.0
2.75
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 30m 3.08 → 2.70 → 2.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -2.8%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Novara (8.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Arzignano Valchiampo vs Juventus U23 Serie C - Girone A · Sat 15:30 | Juventus U23 | 3.1 |
2.9
since pub · 33h 36m |
↓ -6.5%
3.1
2.9
🐢 Slow drift over 33h 36m 3.40 → 2.80 → 2.90 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
3/9
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↓ -7.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -6.5%
William Hill
↓ -3.4%
|
Steam Score:
26
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +14/45
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Juventus U23 (swing 3.40 → 2.80 → 2.90) — net 6.5% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe Serie C - Girone A · Sat 15:30 | Lumezzane | 2.35 |
2.35
since pub · 33h 36m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.46 → 2.15 → 2.35 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
3/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -1.7%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
6
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Lumezzane (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 13.4% — price repriced then reverted. |
