Market Movement - Northern Ireland - Championship
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 9.4% move).
- Strongest steam: Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic (11.1%, 7 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 67% shortening · 33% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -11.1%
- 2 ↓ -10.0%
- 3 ↑ +7.1%
Biggest Steam
-
Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic ↓ -11.1% Steam 62
-
2
Institute vs H&W Welders ↓ -10.0% Steam 59
-
3
Annagh United vs Glenavon FC ↑ +7.1% Steam 49
Highest Breadth
-
1
Annagh United vs Glenavon FC ↑ +7.1% 6/8
-
2
Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic ↓ -11.1% 5/7
-
3
Institute vs H&W Welders ↓ -10.0% 5/7
Most Books Agree
-
1
Annagh United vs Glenavon FC ↑ +7.1%
- 2
-
3
Institute vs H&W Welders ↓ -10.0%
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
-
2
Institute vs H&W Welders ↓ -10.0%
-
3
Annagh United vs Glenavon FC ↑ +7.1%
League Intelligence (30 days)
Championship (Northern Ireland) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 60.5 while bookmaker consensus averaged 71% breadth, with 2 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Northern Ireland - Championship has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 60.5. Typical line moves averaged 10.6% and the largest swing reached 11.1%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 50.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic | Warrenpoint Town | Strabane Athletic ↓ -11.1% | -18.9 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Institute vs H&W Welders | H&W Welders | Institute ↓ -10.0% | -11.7 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Annagh United vs Glenavon FC | Glenavon FC | Annagh United ↑ +7.1% | -5.1 pp | Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic | Strabane Athletic | ↓ -11.1% | 📈 Steam | 5/7 | Steam Score: 62 A |
| Institute vs H&W Welders | Institute | ↓ -10.0% | 📈 Steam | 5/7 | Steam Score: 59 B |
| Annagh United vs Glenavon FC | Annagh United | ↑ +7.1% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 6/8 | Steam Score: 49 B |
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| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic Championship · Sat 14:00 | Strabane Athletic | 4.5 |
4.0
since pub · 36h 57m |
↓ -11.1%
4.5
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 36h 57m 4.61 → 3.84 → 4.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -11.1%
Betano
↓ -9.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.4%
1xBet
↓ -4.1%
Dafabet
↓ -2.2%
|
Steam Score:
62
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Strabane Athletic (11.1%, 5/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Institute vs H&W Welders Championship · Sat 14:00 | Institute | 3.2 |
2.88
since pub · 36h 57m |
↓ -10.0%
3.2
2.88
🐢 Slow drift over 36h 57m 3.32 → 2.63 → 2.88 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -12.0%
1xBet
↓ -11.7%
Betano
↓ -11.7%
Dafabet
↓ -10.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -10.0%
|
Steam Score:
59
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Institute (10.0%, 5/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Annagh United vs Glenavon FC Championship · Sat 16:30 | Annagh United | 2.1 |
2.25
kickoff in 5m |
↑ +7.1%
2.1
2.25
🐢 Slow drift over 36h 57m 2.45 → 2.05 → 2.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↑ +13.2%
Dafabet
↑ +13.0%
1xBet
↑ +12.1%
Betano
↑ +11.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.1%
William Hill
↑ +4.3%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +16/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Annagh United (7.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |