Market Movement - Peru - Primera División
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 15.7% move).
- Strongest steam: ADT vs FC Cajamarca (21.6%, 10 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT vs FC Cajamarca Primera División · Sat 18:00 | FC Cajamarca | 3.7 |
4.5
kickoff in 95m |
↑ +21.6%
3.7
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 128h 36m 5.00 → 3.70 → 4.50 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/10
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +25.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +21.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.3%
William Hill
↑ +7.1%
1xBet
↑ +3.2%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.1%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on FC Cajamarca (21.6%, 6/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College Primera División · Sat 20:30 | Juan Pablo II College | 4.1 |
4.5
kickoff in 4h 5m |
↑ +9.8%
4.1
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 128h 36m 4.50 → 3.37 → 4.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +9.8%
Betano
↑ +9.0%
SBO Sharp
↑ +5.3%
|
Steam Score:
43
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Juan Pablo II College (9.8%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |