Market Movement - Albania - Superliga
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on AF Elbasani vs Vora (15.8%).
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 50% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani vs Vora Superliga · Sat 16:30 | Vora | 4.75 |
5.5
since pub · 18h 33m |
↑ +15.8%
4.75
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 18h 33m 5.82 → 4.15 → 5.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/6
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +25.6%
1xBet
↑ +23.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +19.6%
Betano
↑ +16.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.5%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/6 books lengthened Vora together (15.8% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce Superliga · Sat 16:30 | Teuta Durrës | 1.5 |
1.5
since pub · 14h 39m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.55 → 1.47 → 1.50 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/6
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Teuta Durrës (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.3% — price repriced then reverted. |