Predictions / Football / Qatar. Stars League / Al Sadd vs UMM Salal

Al Sadd vs UMM Salal Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Al Sadd Al Sadd
Mar 07, 2026 - 18:30
2.20
1.25
58% 22% 20%
UMM Salal UMM Salal

Final betting verdict

Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.

  • No value on 1X2 (Al Sadd vs. current odds)
  • Possible value: Under 2.5 (+25%+ EV at best odds)
  • Possible value: BTTS Yes (+8.5% EV at best odds)
  • Steam repriced this match — late money may have eaten remaining edge on the steamed side.
Moderate conviction (5.5/10) — one selective line, not a multi-market parlay.
1X2 ❌ No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 57.8% Al Sadd; implied 76.2%; EV -19.5%
No standard primary for this match: the best +EV line in the 25–40% model band is not shown as a main pick (settings). Use the alternative or secondary lines below.
Steam vs. value
Market momentum is strong, but current odds may already be over-adjusted. Steam detected — model value on this line may be priced out.
This match appears on the market-movement board for aggressive line repricing — not because 1X2 is currently a positive-EV bet.
📈 Steam · UMM Salal ↑ +21.7% · 4/7 · 76 A+
Market steam Strong
Current EV Negative
Closing line pressure High
Value remaining Limited
No Primary pick for default sizing on this strip (1X2 can still read “no bet”), but at least one other market clears the +EV threshold — check the Over/Under and BTTS cards below.
⭐ Over / Under 2.5 Model edge (+EV)
Over 2.5 67.0% · Under 2.5 33.0%
EV Over -16.9% · EV Under +25%+
Value lean: Under 2.5
Both Teams To Score Model edge (+EV)
Yes 64.6% · No 35.4%
EV Yes +8.5% · EV No -11.5%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 Lean
Al Sadd · Model 57.8%
implied 76.2%
Main consensus market · EV: -19.5%
Best available bookmaker line: +6.7% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
2-1
Probability 9.6%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Selective value — At least one tracked market may clear +EV at best odds, but conviction is limited (5.5/10) — size down.
Decision strength: 5.5 / 10
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -16.9% · EV Under +25%+ (6 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes +8.5% · EV No -11.5%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • When there is no Primary line, compare the +EV rows in the market cards below (not only 1X2).
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Stars League Stars League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Sadd 22 14 3 5 45
2 Al Shamal 22 12 4 6 40
3 Al-Rayyan SC 22 11 5 6 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36
5 Al-Duhail SC 22 9 6 7 33
6 Qatar SC 22 9 5 8 32
7 Al-Arabi SC 22 9 5 8 32
8 Al Wakrah 22 7 6 9 27
9 Al Ahli Doha 22 8 2 12 26
10 Al-Sailiya 22 6 4 12 22
11 Al Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 21
12 UMM Salal 22 6 2 14 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Sadd 22 56 30 +26 45
2 Al-Rayyan SC 22 46 32 +14 38
3 Al-Duhail SC 22 40 27 +13 33
4 Al Shamal 22 39 28 +11 40
5 Al-Arabi SC 22 37 41 -4 32
6 UMM Salal 22 37 56 -19 20
7 Al-Gharafa 22 36 36 0 36
8 Qatar SC 22 34 32 +2 32
9 Al Ahli Doha 22 34 43 -9 26
10 Al Wakrah 22 32 36 -4 27
11 Al-Sailiya 22 25 38 -13 22
12 Al Shahaniya 22 22 39 -17 21
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al-Duhail SC 22 4.5 2.3 +2.2 33
2 Al-Arabi SC 22 5.2 3.2 +2.0 32
3 Al-Rayyan SC 22 3.8 2.0 +1.8 38
4 Al Wakrah 22 4.4 3.7 +0.7 27
5 Al Sadd 22 4.3 3.9 +0.4 45
6 Al Shamal 22 3.5 3.2 +0.3 40
7 Al-Gharafa 22 2.2 2.7 -0.5 36
8 Al Ahli Doha 22 3.0 3.6 -0.6 26
9 Qatar SC 22 3.9 4.7 -0.8 32
10 Al Shahaniya 22 3.1 4.8 -1.7 21
11 UMM Salal 22 2.5 4.2 -1.7 20
12 Al-Sailiya 22 1.7 3.7 -2.0 22
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