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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Concordia Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "e327250f4823d453d4164ecc03556f1d3bef507b95ab2fcf150051cb351a05f3",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Concordia or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Concordia"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Concordia",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1131,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3045,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 8,
"away_played": 27,
"away_score_rate": 70.4,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 27,
"home_score_rate": 70.4,
"no_prob": 50.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.5,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 49.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.1,
"home_expected": 1.65,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.0
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Concordia or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Concordia or CSM Satu Mare",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or CSM Satu Mare",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Concordia or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Concordia"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.75,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.4,
"over_prob": 51.9,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.9,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.75,
"under_prob": 48.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.038,
"ev_under": -0.1486,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.038,
"over_prob": 51.9,
"sort_key": 10034.2,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 48.1,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0231,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3045,
"max_ev": 0.0231,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Concordia",
"sort_key": 5218.48,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0051,
"ev_yes": -0.109,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0051,
"no_prob": 50.5,
"sort_key": 1798.725,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 49.5
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 814.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 16279,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16279.webp",
"away_team_name": "CSM Satu Mare",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
"country_name": "Romania",
"fixture_id": 1533968,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2580,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2580.webp",
"home_team_name": "Concordia",
"league_country": "Romania",
"league_id": 284,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/284.webp",
"league_name": "Liga II",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 08:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3929,
"best_odd": 2.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0332,
"ev": -0.1744,
"implied_prob": 0.4102,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.377
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2872,
"best_odd": 3.15,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0082,
"ev": -0.1274,
"implied_prob": 0.2852,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.277
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3736,
"best_odd": 2.95,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0423,
"ev": 0.0231,
"implied_prob": 0.3045,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3468
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.97,
"best_yes_odd": 1.8,
"edge_no": 0.0266,
"edge_yes": -0.0266,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0051,
"ev_yes": -0.109,
"implied_no": 0.4784,
"implied_yes": 0.5216,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.0,
"best_under_odd": 1.77,
"edge_over": 0.0526,
"edge_under": -0.0526,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.038,
"ev_under": -0.1486,
"implied_over": 0.4664,
"implied_under": 0.5336,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.038,
"confidence": 4.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.495,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.519,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.481,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.038,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4664,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.519,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "over",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0423,
"ev": 0.0231,
"implied_prob": 0.3045,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Concordia"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0266,
"ev": -0.0051,
"implied_prob": 0.4784,
"model_prob": 0.505,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0526,
"ev": 0.038,
"implied_prob": 0.4664,
"model_prob": 0.519,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1533968,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.038,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "CSM Satu Mare",
"home": "Concordia"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1533968,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T07:59:13.041104+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Liga II — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 53 |
| 2 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 44 |
| 3 | Chindia Targoviste | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Bihor Oradea | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | FC Voluntari | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | ASA Targu Mures | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | CSM Reşiţa | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 |
| 10 | Metalul Buzău | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 |
| 11 | Politehnica Iasi | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31 |
| 12 | CS Afumati | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30 |
| 13 | Concordia | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 |
| 14 | Gloria Bistriţa | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 |
| 15 | Slatina | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dumbrăviţa | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| 17 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 |
| 18 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 20 | Tunari | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 21 | CSM Satu Mare | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 14 |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bihor Oradea | 21 | 40 | 24 | +16 | 39 |
| 2 | Chindia Targoviste | 21 | 38 | 20 | +18 | 39 |
| 3 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 21 | 37 | 13 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 | ASA Targu Mures | 21 | 37 | 22 | +15 | 37 |
| 5 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 21 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 39 |
| 6 | CSM Reşiţa | 21 | 35 | 29 | +6 | 33 |
| 7 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 21 | 34 | 18 | +16 | 44 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 21 | 33 | 26 | +7 | 32 |
| 9 | FC Voluntari | 21 | 30 | 16 | +14 | 39 |
| 10 | CS Afumati | 21 | 30 | 26 | +4 | 30 |
| 11 | Concordia | 21 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 27 |
| 12 | Gloria Bistriţa | 21 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | FC Bacau | 21 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 33 |
| 14 | Slatina | 21 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
| 15 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 21 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 20 |
| 16 | Politehnica Iasi | 21 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 31 |
| 17 | Dumbrăviţa | 21 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 25 |
| 18 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 21 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 21 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 | Tunari | 21 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 16 |
| 21 | CSM Satu Mare | 21 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 14 |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 21 | 10 | 53 | -43 | 10 |
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