Arges Pitesti vs Rapid Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.3969,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3431,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.52,
      "fair_odds_draw": 2.91,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.85,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.85,
      "home_win_prob": 0.26,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Rapid and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Rapid"
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    "away_xg": 1.11,
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        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
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        "edge_gap": 0.0532,
        "market": "1X2",
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
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          "draw": 34.4,
          "home": 26.0
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        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.41
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        "label": "Away",
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        "overround": 7.7,
        "prob_edge": -1.8,
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        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 38,
        "away_score_rate": 67.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 17,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 38,
        "home_score_rate": 57.3,
        "no_prob": 59.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "home_expected": 0.85,
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          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
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            "away": 1,
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            "prob": 13.3
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            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 12.0
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            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
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          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
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          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Arges Pitesti or Draw",
            "prob": 60.3
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Arges Pitesti or Rapid",
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        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Rapid",
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        "draw_pct": 34.3,
        "home_pct": 26.0,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Rapid"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 1.96,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 31.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.96,
        "under_prob": 68.8
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      "prob_source": "poisson",
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        "implied_prob": 31.7,
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 3.15
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Arges Pitesti",
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          "model_pct": 25.97
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      "movement": [
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          "closing": 2.9,
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          "kind": "1x2_h"
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          "kind": "ou_o"
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        {
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    },
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "tier": "risk",
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 6231,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6231.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Rapid",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2592,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2592.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Arges Pitesti",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
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          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
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      },
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_no": 0.5222,
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        "ou25": {
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          "implied_under": 0.5949,
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      },
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      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 1.96,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
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          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Rapid"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "under",
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
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          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Rapid",
        "home": "Arges Pitesti"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.090156,
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "implied_prob": 0.5949,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.688,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:58:59.365211+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}