Rapid vs CFR 1907 Cluj Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.1736,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2684,
      "fair_odds_away": 5.76,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.73,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.79,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.7,
      "home_win_prob": 0.5581,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or CFR 1907 Cluj and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Rapid",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "CFR 1907 Cluj"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.86,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Rapid",
      "confidence": 55.9,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : Rapid",
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        "edge_gap": 0.2905,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3841,
        "model_prob": 0.5585,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 17.4,
          "draw": 26.8,
          "home": 55.8
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Rapid"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
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          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.48
        }
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      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.48,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Rapid Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.6,
        "market_odds": 2.48,
        "model_odds": 1.79,
        "overround": 5.0,
        "prob_edge": 15.5,
        "value_pct": 38.5,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 10,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 57.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 81.7,
        "no_prob": 51.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.7,
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          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 13.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 11.2
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.6
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 7.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
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          {
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            "label": "Rapid or Draw",
            "prob": 82.6
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Rapid or CFR 1907 Cluj",
            "prob": 73.2
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or CFR 1907 Cluj",
            "prob": 44.2
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Rapid or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 82.6
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 17.4,
        "draw_pct": 26.8,
        "home_pct": 55.8,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Rapid"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.56,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 47.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 52.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.56,
        "under_prob": 52.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 38.5,
        "implied_prob": 40.3,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Rapid Win",
        "model_prob": 55.9,
        "odds": 2.48
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "best_odds": 12.5,
        "edge": 3.2,
        "ev": 39.6,
        "label": "2-0",
        "probability": 11.2
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 13.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.7,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0962,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3841,
        "max_ev": 0.0962,
        "model_prob": 0.5585,
        "side_label": "Rapid",
        "sort_key": 10236.58,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0537,
        "ev_yes": -0.1301,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0537,
        "no_prob": 51.4,
        "sort_key": 10048.33,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 48.6
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0486,
        "ev_under": -0.0126,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0126,
        "over_prob": 47.1,
        "sort_key": 1796.85,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 52.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
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        "id": "correct_score",
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 13.1
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2246,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2246.webp",
      "away_team_name": "CFR 1907 Cluj",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531638,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6231,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6231.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Rapid",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-04 17:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 8.0
      },
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
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            "alpha": 0.2362,
            "best_odd": 3.02,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.1486,
            "implied_prob": 0.3154,
            "model_prob": 0.1735,
            "p_final": 0.2819
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2854,
            "best_odd": 3.17,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0768,
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            "p_final": 0.2912
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            "alpha": 0.3323,
            "best_odd": 2.48,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": 0.0962,
            "implied_prob": 0.3841,
            "model_prob": 0.5585,
            "p_final": 0.442
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          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0962,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.5
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.268,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5585,
          "over_prob": 0.471,
          "total_xg": 2.56,
          "under_prob": 0.528,
          "xg_diff": 0.84
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "ev": 0.0962,
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.5585,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Rapid"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0464,
          "ev": 0.0537,
          "implied_prob": 0.4676,
          "model_prob": 0.514,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0057,
          "ev": -0.0126,
          "implied_prob": 0.5223,
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
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      "match_id": 1531638,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0962,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1735,
        "draw": 0.268,
        "home": 0.5585
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "CFR 1907 Cluj",
        "home": "Rapid"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.053728,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0962,
        "implied_prob": 0.3841,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.5585,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Rapid",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1531638,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-04T17:29:04.093287+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}