FCSB vs Unirea Slobozia Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
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      "away_win_prob": 0.1015,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.1618,
      "fair_odds_away": 9.85,
      "fair_odds_draw": 6.18,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.36,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.81,
      "home_win_prob": 0.7367,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : FCSB or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "FCSB"
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    "away_xg": 1.02,
    "betting_insight": {
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      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0234,
        "edge_gap": 0.5743,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.7597,
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        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 10.2,
          "draw": 16.2,
          "home": 73.6
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [
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          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.22
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.22,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "FCSB Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.32,
        "market_odds": 1.22,
        "model_odds": 1.36,
        "overround": 7.9,
        "prob_edge": -8.4,
        "value_pct": -10.3,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 14,
        "away_played": 37,
        "away_score_rate": 63.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 37,
        "home_score_rate": 94.0,
        "no_prob": 39.1,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 60.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 60.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.02,
        "home_expected": 2.81,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 8.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-0",
            "prob": 8.0
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
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          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "FCSB or Draw",
            "prob": 89.9
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "FCSB or Unirea Slobozia",
            "prob": 83.9
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Unirea Slobozia",
            "prob": 26.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "FCSB or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 89.9
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.2,
        "draw_pct": 16.2,
        "home_pct": 73.7,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "FCSB"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.83,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 73.6,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 73.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.83,
        "under_prob": 26.4
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 8.2,
        "implied_prob": 9.4,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Unirea Slobozia Win",
        "model_prob": 10.2,
        "odds": 10.61
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 2.81,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.3157,
        "ev_yes": 0.2789,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2789,
        "no_prob": 39.1,
        "sort_key": 10401.01,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
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        "ev_over": 0.1555,
        "ev_under": -0.3717,
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        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1555,
        "over_prob": 73.6,
        "sort_key": 10139.95,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 26.4,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0897,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.7597,
        "max_ev": -0.0435,
        "model_prob": 0.7363,
        "side_label": "FCSB",
        "sort_key": 1789.125,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 806.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-1",
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 6916,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6916.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Unirea Slobozia",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531538,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 559,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/559.webp",
      "home_team_name": "FCSB",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
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            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0028,
            "ev": -0.0435,
            "implied_prob": 0.0874,
            "model_prob": 0.1017,
            "p_final": 0.0902
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1973,
            "best_odd": 6.06,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0623,
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          "home": {
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            "best_odd": 1.22,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": -0.0897,
            "implied_prob": 0.7597,
            "model_prob": 0.7363,
            "p_final": 0.7462
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          "edge_no": -0.1487,
          "edge_yes": 0.1487,
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          "ev_yes": 0.2789,
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          "implied_yes": 0.4603,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
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        "ou25": {
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          "implied_over": 0.6021,
          "implied_under": 0.3979,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.83,
      "variance_flag": false
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    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2789,
      "confidence": 7.5,
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.609,
          "draw_prob": 0.162,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.7363,
          "over_prob": 0.736,
          "total_xg": 3.83,
          "under_prob": 0.264,
          "xg_diff": 1.79
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        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0135,
          "ev": -0.0897,
          "implied_prob": 0.7597,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.7363,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "FCSB"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1487,
          "ev": 0.2789,
          "implied_prob": 0.4603,
          "model_prob": 0.609,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1339,
          "ev": 0.1555,
          "implied_prob": 0.6021,
          "model_prob": 0.736,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1531538,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2789,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1017,
        "draw": 0.162,
        "home": 0.7363
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1555,
        "implied_prob": 0.6021,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.736,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1555,
          "implied_prob": 0.6021,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.736,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Unirea Slobozia",
        "home": "FCSB"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.16985,
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        "ev": 0.2789,
        "implied_prob": 0.4603,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.609,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  },
  "fixture_id": 1531538,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:59:46.678554+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}