Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Étoile Carouge Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Neuchatel Xamax FC"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0352,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4528,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 34,
        "away_score_rate": 70.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 34,
        "home_score_rate": 73.5,
        "no_prob": 48.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 51.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.45,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.4
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
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          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC or \u00c9toile Carouge",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or \u00c9toile Carouge",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
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        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC"
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        "avg_total": 2.9,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 55.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 55.4,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.9,
        "under_prob": 44.6
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.3228,
        "ev_yes": -0.2474,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.3228,
        "no_prob": 48.1,
        "sort_key": 10440.52,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 51.9
      },
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": 0.173,
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      {
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4528,
        "max_ev": -0.022,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC",
        "sort_key": 1794.5,
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        "id": "correct_score",
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.6
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 6654,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6654.webp",
      "away_team_name": "\u00c9toile Carouge",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ch.svg",
      "country_name": "Switzerland",
      "fixture_id": 1491442,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1015,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1015.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Neuchatel Xamax FC",
      "league_country": "Switzerland",
      "league_id": 208,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/208.webp",
      "league_name": "Challenge League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-11 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
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            "alpha": 0.2868,
            "best_odd": 3.21,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0084,
            "ev": -0.022,
            "implied_prob": 0.2962,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3047
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2974,
            "best_odd": 3.79,
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0425,
            "implied_prob": 0.2509,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2526
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4263,
            "best_odd": 2.1,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.015,
            "ev": -0.0805,
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            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4378
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.45,
          "edge_no": 0.1324,
          "edge_yes": -0.1324,
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          "ev_no": 0.3228,
          "ev_yes": -0.2474,
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          "implied_yes": 0.6514,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
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        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 2.63,
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          "edge_under": 0.0796,
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          "ev_over": -0.1579,
          "ev_under": 0.173,
          "implied_over": 0.6336,
          "implied_under": 0.3664,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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    "unified_decision": {
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.519,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.554,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.446,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
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        "type": "neutral",
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          "edge": -0.015,
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          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Neuchatel Xamax FC"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge": 0.1324,
          "ev": 0.3228,
          "implied_prob": 0.3486,
          "model_prob": 0.481,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0796,
          "ev": 0.173,
          "implied_prob": 0.3664,
          "model_prob": 0.446,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
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      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.173,
        "implied_prob": 0.3664,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.446,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
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      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
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          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "\u00c9toile Carouge",
        "home": "Neuchatel Xamax FC"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.155267,
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        "model_prob": 0.481,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "fixture_id": 1491442,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-11T15:59:05.790448+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}