Estadísticas / Fútbol / Thailand. Thai League 1 / Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.41
1 0.85
xG Accuracy: 82%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Chonburi FC Chonburi FC ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "12bfbbf5885c45b4523f6805ccb9a16fc2dc1b1f67854707fcf0fe84562d50bd",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.85,
      "away_win_prob": 0.2102,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3048,
      "fair_odds_away": 4.76,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.28,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.06,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.41,
      "home_win_prob": 0.485,
      "prediction_confidence": "low"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Chonburi FC",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Nakhon Ratchasima FC"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.85,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Chonburi FC",
      "confidence": 48.5,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "Winner : Chonburi FC",
        "edge": 0.0021,
        "edge_gap": 0.1805,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4831,
        "model_prob": 0.4852,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 21.0,
          "draw": 30.5,
          "home": 48.5
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Chonburi FC"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.93
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.93,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Chonburi FC Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.07,
        "market_odds": 1.93,
        "model_odds": 2.06,
        "overround": 7.2,
        "prob_edge": -3.3,
        "value_pct": -6.3,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 15,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 57.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 75.6,
        "no_prob": 55.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 44.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.85,
        "home_expected": 1.41,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 14.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Chonburi FC or Draw",
            "prob": 79.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Chonburi FC or Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
            "prob": 69.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
            "prob": 51.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Chonburi FC or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 79.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 21.0,
        "draw_pct": 30.5,
        "home_pct": 48.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Chonburi FC"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.26,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 39.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 60.7,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.26,
        "under_prob": 60.7
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 21.4,
        "implied_prob": 25.1,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 30.5,
        "odds": 3.98
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 14.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.41,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.3162,
        "ev_under": 0.3354,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.3354,
        "over_prob": 39.3,
        "sort_key": 10451.86,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 60.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2398,
        "ev_yes": -0.2591,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2398,
        "no_prob": 55.1,
        "sort_key": 10215.82,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0651,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4831,
        "max_ev": 0.0077,
        "model_prob": 0.4852,
        "side_label": "Chonburi FC",
        "sort_key": 5206.16,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 824.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 14.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2773,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2773.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/th.svg",
      "country_name": "Thailand",
      "fixture_id": 1491307,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2772,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2772.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Chonburi FC",
      "league_country": "Thailand",
      "league_id": 296,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/296.webp",
      "league_name": "Thai League 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 11:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2673,
            "best_odd": 3.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0194,
            "ev": -0.1316,
            "implied_prob": 0.2826,
            "model_prob": 0.21,
            "p_final": 0.2632
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2683,
            "best_odd": 3.98,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0189,
            "ev": 0.0077,
            "implied_prob": 0.2343,
            "model_prob": 0.3048,
            "p_final": 0.2532
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5981,
            "best_odd": 1.93,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0013,
            "ev": -0.0651,
            "implied_prob": 0.4831,
            "model_prob": 0.4852,
            "p_final": 0.4844
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.25,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.65,
          "edge_no": 0.1209,
          "edge_yes": -0.1209,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2398,
          "ev_yes": -0.2591,
          "implied_no": 0.4301,
          "implied_yes": 0.5699,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.74,
          "best_under_odd": 2.2,
          "edge_over": -0.1631,
          "edge_under": 0.1631,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3162,
          "ev_under": 0.3354,
          "implied_over": 0.5561,
          "implied_under": 0.4439,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.26,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3354,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.449,
          "draw_prob": 0.3048,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4852,
          "over_prob": 0.393,
          "total_xg": 2.26,
          "under_prob": 0.607,
          "xg_diff": 0.56
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0013,
          "ev": -0.0651,
          "implied_prob": 0.4831,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4852,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Chonburi FC"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1209,
          "ev": 0.2398,
          "implied_prob": 0.4301,
          "model_prob": 0.551,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1631,
          "ev": 0.3354,
          "implied_prob": 0.4439,
          "model_prob": 0.607,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1491307,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3354,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.21,
        "draw": 0.3048,
        "home": 0.4852
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2398,
        "implied_prob": 0.4301,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.551,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2398,
          "implied_prob": 0.4301,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.551,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
        "home": "Chonburi FC"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.142511,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3354,
        "implied_prob": 0.4439,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.607,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1491307,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T10:59:16.302142+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

Obtén predicciones premium para Chonburi FC & Nakhon Ratchasima FC!

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Volver a Estadísticas
Thai League 1 Thai League 1Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Buriram United 30 22 4 4 70
2 Port FC 30 18 6 6 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 59
4 BG Pathum United 30 14 10 6 52
5 Bangkok United 30 13 11 6 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 45
7 Chiangrai United 30 9 13 8 40
8 Chonburi FC 30 10 9 11 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 37
10 Ayutthaya FC 30 8 8 14 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 29
13 Sukhothai FC 30 6 10 14 28
14 Muangthong United 30 6 8 16 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 23
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Buriram United 30 76 31 +45 70
2 Port FC 30 59 23 +36 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 55 30 +25 59
4 BG Pathum United 30 45 29 +16 52
5 Rayong FC 30 44 49 -5 37
6 Bangkok United 30 43 32 +11 50
7 Prachuap 30 39 37 +2 45
8 Uthai Thani 30 39 44 -5 31
9 Chonburi FC 30 38 41 -3 39
10 Chiangrai United 30 36 37 -1 40
11 Lamphun Warrior 30 35 47 -12 29
12 Ayutthaya FC 30 34 50 -16 32
13 Kanchanaburi 30 29 54 -25 23
14 Muangthong United 30 27 52 -25 26
15 Sukhothai FC 30 23 42 -19 28
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 20 44 -24 24
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- Pts
1 Buriram United 30 13.4 6.1 +7.3 70
2 Bangkok United 30 13.3 7.2 +6.1 50
3 Port FC 30 12.0 8.3 +3.7 60
4 Prachuap 30 10.3 6.6 +3.7 45
5 Ayutthaya FC 30 10.3 7.9 +2.4 32
6 Rayong FC 30 9.8 7.8 +2.0 37
7 Muangthong United 30 10.3 9.8 +0.5 26
8 Chonburi FC 30 8.9 10.1 -1.2 39
9 Ratchaburi 30 10.8 12.2 -1.4 59
10 Lamphun Warrior 30 9.5 11.1 -1.6 29
11 Uthai Thani 30 9.0 10.8 -1.8 31
12 BG Pathum United 30 8.1 9.9 -1.8 52
13 Kanchanaburi 30 9.0 12.2 -3.2 23
14 Chiangrai United 30 8.4 11.8 -3.4 40
15 Sukhothai FC 30 7.8 13.3 -5.5 28
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6.5 12.2 -5.7 24