Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary Statistics & Analysis

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      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Varnsdorf or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Varnsdorf"
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Varnsdorf",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1019,
        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5519,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 10.0,
          "draw": 45.0,
          "home": 45.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 2,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 25,
        "away_score_rate": 72.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 25,
        "home_score_rate": 68.0,
        "no_prob": 51.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.0,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 49.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.8,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.9
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.0
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.0
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 4.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
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          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Varnsdorf or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Varnsdorf or Slovan Velvary",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Slovan Velvary",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Varnsdorf or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Varnsdorf"
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        "confidence": "high",
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        "over_prob": 69.7,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 69.7,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.6,
        "under_prob": 30.3
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
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    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 8.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.224,
        "ev_yes": -0.2503,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.224,
        "no_prob": 51.0,
        "sort_key": 10351.6,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 49.0
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        "ev_under": -0.2728,
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        "value_side": "over"
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5519,
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        "side_label": "Varnsdorf",
        "sort_key": 5258.64,
        "tier": "lean"
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      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 7348,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7348.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Slovan Velvary",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1489610,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 3728,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3728.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Varnsdorf",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 685,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/685.webp",
      "league_name": "3. liga - CFL B",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-06 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
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          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
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            "alpha": 0.1661,
            "best_odd": 4.25,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0188,
            "ev": -0.1746,
            "implied_prob": 0.213,
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          "draw": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": 0.0733,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.1798,
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            "p_final": 0.5001
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        },
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          "ev_yes": -0.2503,
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          "implied_yes": 0.6105,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
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          "best_under_odd": 2.4,
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          "edge_under": -0.0879,
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          "ev_under": -0.2728,
          "implied_over": 0.6091,
          "implied_under": 0.3909,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.0
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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        "gap": null,
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "edge": -0.0518,
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Varnsdorf"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
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          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
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        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.45
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0943,
        "implied_prob": 0.6091,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.697,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
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      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Slovan Velvary",
        "home": "Varnsdorf"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.11424,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.224,
        "implied_prob": 0.3895,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.51,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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      "valid_markets_count": 3
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  "fixture_id": 1489610,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-06T14:59:44.052706+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}