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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Atlético Monzón Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 1-1 ✔ Correct
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "243e089bec79480e2555c8cf34dc2ea11f7df32904f14c17fec3a1c3d2e7acaf",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0139,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4316,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 23,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 78.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 11,
"home_failed_to_score": 6,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 81.8,
"no_prob": 35.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 64.5,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 64.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.2,
"home_expected": 1.25,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n or Cuarte",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Cuarte",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.45,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 2.2,
"over_prob": 44.3,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 55.7,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.45,
"under_prob": 55.7
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.9
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3823,
"ev_yes": 0.2577,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2577,
"no_prob": 35.5,
"sort_key": 10381.93,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 64.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0543,
"ev_under": -0.1478,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0543,
"over_prob": 44.3,
"sort_key": 10048.87,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 55.7,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1235,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4316,
"max_ev": -0.0509,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n",
"sort_key": 1787.275,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.7,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.9
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 9886,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9886.webp",
"away_team_name": "Cuarte",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
"country_name": "Spain",
"fixture_id": 1463153,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 9878,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9878.webp",
"home_team_name": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n",
"league_country": "Spain",
"league_id": 455,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/455.webp",
"league_name": "Tercera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 17",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2708,
"best_odd": 3.41,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0176,
"ev": -0.0509,
"implied_prob": 0.2607,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2783
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4156,
"best_odd": 2.89,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0212,
"ev": -0.1721,
"implied_prob": 0.3077,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2865
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4406,
"best_odd": 2.06,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0061,
"ev": -0.1235,
"implied_prob": 0.4316,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4255
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.74,
"best_yes_odd": 1.95,
"edge_no": -0.1783,
"edge_yes": 0.1783,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3823,
"ev_yes": 0.2577,
"implied_no": 0.5333,
"implied_yes": 0.4667,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.38,
"best_under_odd": 1.53,
"edge_over": 0.0454,
"edge_under": -0.0454,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0543,
"ev_under": -0.1478,
"implied_over": 0.3976,
"implied_under": 0.6024,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2577,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.645,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.443,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.557,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0061,
"ev": -0.1235,
"implied_prob": 0.4316,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1783,
"ev": 0.2577,
"implied_prob": 0.4667,
"model_prob": 0.645,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0454,
"ev": 0.0543,
"implied_prob": 0.3976,
"model_prob": 0.443,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1463153,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2577,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Cuarte",
"home": "Atl\u00e9tico Monz\u00f3n"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.166216,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2577,
"implied_prob": 0.4667,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.645,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1463153,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:01:21.990336+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 75 |
| 2 | Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 74 |
| 3 | Atlético Monzón | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Épila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 67 |
| 5 | Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | Binéfar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudévar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 10 | CDJ Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 36 |
| 14 | Cariñena | 34 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 32 |
| 15 | Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 16 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Monzón | 34 | 72 | 37 | +35 | 71 |
| 2 | Binéfar | 34 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 | Huesca II | 34 | 52 | 33 | +19 | 52 |
| 4 | Calamocha | 34 | 49 | 22 | +27 | 75 |
| 5 | Cuarte | 34 | 43 | 12 | +31 | 74 |
| 6 | La Almunia | 34 | 42 | 38 | +4 | 47 |
| 7 | CDJ Tamarite | 34 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | UD Casetas | 34 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 30 |
| 9 | Épila | 34 | 39 | 20 | +19 | 67 |
| 10 | Caspe | 34 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 53 |
| 11 | Robres | 34 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 36 |
| 12 | Utrillas | 34 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 34 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | Cariñena | 34 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Illueca | 34 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Almudévar | 34 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 44 |
| 17 | Belchite 97 | 34 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 32 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 17 | 65 | -48 | 16 |
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