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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Hebar 1918 ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 0-1 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "de08306b08c76e3de1106b46b2af4cee8049c67479231934d6e0421caf534986",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0085,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 75.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 11,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 62.1,
"no_prob": 52.9,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 52.9,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 47.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.35,
"home_expected": 1.5,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo or Hebar 1918",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Hebar 1918",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.85,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 54.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.2,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.85,
"under_prob": 45.8
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1479,
"ev_yes": -0.2511,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1479,
"no_prob": 52.9,
"sort_key": 10283.11,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 47.1
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0515,
"ev_under": -0.1115,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0515,
"over_prob": 54.2,
"sort_key": 1787.125,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 45.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1088,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"max_ev": -0.0784,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo",
"sort_key": 1780.4,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 815.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 4659,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4659.webp",
"away_team_name": "Hebar 1918",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/bg.svg",
"country_name": "Bulgaria",
"fixture_id": 1451935,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 855,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/855.webp",
"home_team_name": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo",
"league_country": "Bulgaria",
"league_id": 173,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/173.webp",
"league_name": "Second League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2883,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0075,
"ev": -0.0784,
"implied_prob": 0.2997,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3072
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2921,
"best_odd": 3.28,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0051,
"ev": -0.1176,
"implied_prob": 0.2741,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.269
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4443,
"best_odd": 2.11,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0038,
"ev": -0.1088,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4224
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.17,
"best_yes_odd": 1.59,
"edge_no": 0.1043,
"edge_yes": -0.1043,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1479,
"ev_yes": -0.2511,
"implied_no": 0.4247,
"implied_yes": 0.5753,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.75,
"best_under_odd": 1.94,
"edge_over": 0.0161,
"edge_under": -0.0161,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0515,
"ev_under": -0.1115,
"implied_over": 0.5259,
"implied_under": 0.4741,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1479,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.471,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.542,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.458,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0038,
"ev": -0.1088,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1043,
"ev": 0.1479,
"implied_prob": 0.4247,
"model_prob": 0.529,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0161,
"ev": -0.0515,
"implied_prob": 0.5259,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1451935,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1479,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Hebar 1918",
"home": "Etar Veliko Tarnovo"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.078239,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1479,
"implied_prob": 0.4247,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.529,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1451935,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T14:55:54.139166+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Second League — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunav Ruse | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 66 |
| 2 | Yantra 2019 | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 61 |
| 3 | Fratria | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 60 |
| 4 | Vihren | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 |
| 5 | CSKA Sofia II | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Hebar 1918 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40 |
| 9 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 38 |
| 10 | Ludogorets II | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 |
| 11 | Marek | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 38 |
| 12 | Spartak Pleven | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 14 | Sportist Svoge | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 31 |
| 15 | FK Minyor Pernik | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 |
| 16 | Sevlievo | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 29 |
| 17 | Belasitsa | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 19 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 32 | 59 | 34 | +25 | 58 |
| 2 | Fratria | 31 | 58 | 29 | +29 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 31 | 54 | 32 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 | Dunav Ruse | 31 | 51 | 15 | +36 | 66 |
| 5 | Yantra 2019 | 31 | 42 | 23 | +19 | 61 |
| 6 | Hebar 1918 | 31 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 40 |
| 7 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 31 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 31 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Ludogorets II | 31 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 31 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 46 |
| 11 | Spartak Pleven | 31 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 35 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 31 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 | FK Minyor Pernik | 31 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Sportist Svoge | 31 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 31 |
| 15 | Marek | 31 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 38 |
| 16 | Sevlievo | 31 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Belasitsa | 31 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 19 |
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