Highbury vs Hungry Lions Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Hungry Lions",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Hungry Lions"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Highbury",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0245,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3932,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 11,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 71.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 67.9,
        "no_prob": 51.5,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 51.5,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 0.95,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 14.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.4
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          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 12.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Highbury or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Highbury or Hungry Lions",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Hungry Lions",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Hungry Lions",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 35.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.1,
        "under_prob": 65.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 14.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1657,
        "ev_yes": 0.0427,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0427,
        "no_prob": 51.5,
        "sort_key": 10038.43,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 48.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
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        "ev_under": -0.0575,
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        "over_prob": 35.0,
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        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 65.0,
        "value_side": "under"
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      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3932,
        "max_ev": -0.0713,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Highbury",
        "sort_key": 1782.175,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
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      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 822.3,
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        "top_prob": 14.1
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 10561,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10561.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Hungry Lions",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/za.svg",
      "country_name": "South-Africa",
      "fixture_id": 1446423,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 24758,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/24758.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Highbury",
      "league_country": "South-Africa",
      "league_id": 289,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/289.webp",
      "league_name": "1st Division",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
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        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
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            "alpha": 0.4429,
            "best_odd": 2.87,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0047,
            "ev": -0.0823,
            "implied_prob": 0.3151,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3198
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2842,
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "ev_available": true,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "p_final": 0.4038
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        "btts": {
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          "ev_no": -0.1657,
          "ev_yes": 0.0427,
          "implied_no": 0.5692,
          "implied_yes": 0.4308,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
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          "edge_under": 0.0072,
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          "implied_over": 0.3572,
          "implied_under": 0.6428,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "variance_flag": false
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          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.65,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": {
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        "ev": 0.0427,
        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "market": "btts",
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        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "hero_display"
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Highbury"
        },
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          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0072,
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1446423,
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        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Hungry Lions",
        "home": "Highbury"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  },
  "fixture_id": 1446423,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T13:00:15.229700+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}