Estadísticas / Fútbol / Belgium. Reserve Pro League / RFC de Liege U21 vs Westerlo U21

RFC de Liege U21 vs Westerlo U21 Statistics & Analysis

May 15, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.45
7 1.25
xG Accuracy: 14%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 RFC de Liege U21 Westerlo U21 ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2 0-7 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "8325abc3f044609514323371514462000059c217458e564dc5d1f771c8245b1e",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Winner : Westerlo U21 and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Westerlo U21"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "RFC de Liege U21",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.3638,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.0539,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 23,
        "away_score_rate": 82.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 0,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 23,
        "home_score_rate": 60.9,
        "no_prob": 49.7,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 50.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 50.3
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 2.95,
        "home_expected": 1.35,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.0
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 7.8
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 5.9
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-3",
            "prob": 5.8
          },
          {
            "away": 4,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-4",
            "prob": 5.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "RFC de Liege U21 or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "RFC de Liege U21 or Westerlo U21",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Westerlo U21",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Westerlo U21",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 4.3,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 80.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 80.3,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 4.3,
        "under_prob": 19.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Westerlo U21",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "RFC de Liege U21",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 5.39,
          "gap_pp": 36.38,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 8.73,
          "gap_pp": 16.94,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 85.88,
          "gap_pp": -53.32,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 16.89,
          "early": 16.89,
          "implied_closing_pct": 5.39,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 5.39,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 10.43,
          "early": 10.43,
          "implied_closing_pct": 8.73,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 8.73,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.06,
          "early": 1.06,
          "implied_closing_pct": 85.88,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 85.88,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 36.4,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-2",
        "prob": 8.0
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.5247,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.0539,
        "max_ev": 0.5247,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "RFC de Liege U21",
        "sort_key": 10622.23,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0846,
        "ev_under": 0.1426,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1426,
        "over_prob": 80.3,
        "sort_key": 10128.34,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 19.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0189,
        "ev_yes": 0.0362,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0362,
        "no_prob": 49.7,
        "sort_key": 10032.58,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 50.3
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 804.0,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-2",
        "top_prob": 8.0
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 19587,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/19587.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Westerlo U21",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/be.svg",
      "country_name": "Belgium",
      "fixture_id": 1440764,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 22200,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/22200.webp",
      "home_team_name": "RFC de Liege U21",
      "league_country": "Belgium",
      "league_id": 518,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/518.webp",
      "league_name": "Reserve Pro League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-15 18:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3,
            "best_odd": 1.06,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.16,
            "ev": -0.2592,
            "implied_prob": 0.8588,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.6989
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1492,
            "best_odd": 10.43,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0253,
            "ev": 0.1739,
            "implied_prob": 0.0873,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.1126
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1,
            "best_odd": 16.89,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0364,
            "ev": 0.5247,
            "implied_prob": 0.0539,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.0903
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.05,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.06,
          "edge_no": 0.019,
          "edge_yes": -0.019,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0189,
          "ev_yes": 0.0362,
          "implied_no": 0.478,
          "implied_yes": 0.522,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.14,
          "best_under_odd": 5.8,
          "edge_over": -0.0243,
          "edge_under": 0.0243,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0846,
          "ev_under": 0.1426,
          "implied_over": 0.8273,
          "implied_under": 0.1727,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.5247,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "B",
        "stake_factor": 0.5
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.503,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.803,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.197,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1739,
          "implied_prob": 0.0873,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.2567,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "longshot"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1426,
          "implied_prob": 0.1727,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.197,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "longshot",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0364,
          "ev": 0.5247,
          "implied_prob": 0.0539,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "RFC de Liege U21"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": -0.019,
          "ev": 0.0362,
          "implied_prob": 0.522,
          "model_prob": 0.503,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0243,
          "ev": 0.1426,
          "implied_prob": 0.1727,
          "model_prob": 0.197,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1440764,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.5247,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Westerlo U21",
        "home": "RFC de Liege U21"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.219167,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.5247,
        "implied_prob": 0.0539,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "RFC de Liege U21",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 4
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1440764,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-15T17:59:06.701215+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Reserve Pro League Reserve Pro LeagueClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Lommel U21 21 14 5 2 47
1 Patro Eisden U21 1 0 1 0 1
2 Westerlo U21 22 15 2 5 47
3 Kortrijk U21 21 13 2 6 41
3 Francs Borains U21 0 0 0 0 0
4 RWDM U21 22 12 5 5 41
4 RAAL La Louviere U21 0 0 0 0 0
5 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 23 12 4 7 40
7 Waasland-Beveren U21 22 8 5 9 29
8 Lierse K. U21 21 9 1 11 28
10 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 21 7 2 12 23
12 Sporting Charleroi II 20 4 2 14 14
13 RFC de Liege U21 21 3 0 18 9
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Kortrijk U21 21 66 30 +36 41
2 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 23 61 36 +25 40
3 RWDM U21 22 50 30 +20 41
4 Lommel U21 21 47 22 +25 47
5 Westerlo U21 22 46 32 +14 47
6 Waasland-Beveren U21 22 44 37 +7 29
7 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 21 43 47 -4 23
8 Lierse K. U21 21 40 45 -5 28
9 Sporting Charleroi II 20 26 52 -26 14
10 RFC de Liege U21 21 26 81 -55 9
11 Patro Eisden U21 1 1 1 0 1
12 Francs Borains U21 0 0 0 0 0
13 RAAL La Louviere U21 0 0 0 0 0