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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Groene Ster Kloetinge ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 1-2 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "efc1f8c28b198b73fb9d548834dd56565503e6ebbc6926f91ddeb3f036722b62",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Kloetinge",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Kloetinge"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Groene Ster",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1764,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2413,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 31,
"away_score_rate": 87.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 11,
"home_played": 31,
"home_score_rate": 64.5,
"no_prob": 43.8,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 56.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 56.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.8,
"home_expected": 1.3,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 7.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.9
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Groene Ster or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Groene Ster or Kloetinge",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Kloetinge",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Kloetinge",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.1,
"away_avg_scored": 1.9,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 59.9,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 59.9,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.1,
"under_prob": 40.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0731,
"ev_yes": -0.1739,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0731,
"no_prob": 43.8,
"sort_key": 10215.79,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 56.2
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.031,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2413,
"max_ev": 0.031,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Groene Ster",
"sort_key": 10027.9,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1015,
"ev_under": 0.0025,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0025,
"over_prob": 59.9,
"sort_key": 5202.0,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 40.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3930,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3930.webp",
"away_team_name": "Kloetinge",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
"country_name": "Netherlands",
"fixture_id": 1438434,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 1236,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1236.webp",
"home_team_name": "Groene Ster",
"league_country": "Netherlands",
"league_id": 93,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/93.webp",
"league_name": "Derde Divisie - Sunday",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4285,
"best_odd": 1.72,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0816,
"ev": -0.2526,
"implied_prob": 0.5162,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4345
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2936,
"best_odd": 3.66,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0041,
"ev": -0.097,
"implied_prob": 0.2426,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2467
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2206,
"best_odd": 3.68,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0389,
"ev": 0.031,
"implied_prob": 0.2413,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.2802
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.45,
"best_yes_odd": 1.47,
"edge_no": 0.0624,
"edge_yes": -0.0624,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0731,
"ev_yes": -0.1739,
"implied_no": 0.3756,
"implied_yes": 0.6244,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.5,
"best_under_odd": 2.5,
"edge_over": -0.0234,
"edge_under": 0.0234,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1015,
"ev_under": 0.0025,
"implied_over": 0.6224,
"implied_under": 0.3776,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0731,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.599,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.401,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0389,
"ev": 0.031,
"implied_prob": 0.2413,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Groene Ster"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0624,
"ev": 0.0731,
"implied_prob": 0.3756,
"model_prob": 0.438,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0234,
"ev": 0.0025,
"implied_prob": 0.3776,
"model_prob": 0.401,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1438434,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0731,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Kloetinge",
"home": "Groene Ster"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.032018,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0731,
"implied_prob": 0.3756,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.438,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1438434,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T16:00:43.661676+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Derde Divisie - Sunday — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kloetinge | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 70 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 65 |
| 3 | Vvsb | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 65 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 |
| 7 | TOGB | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Zwaluwen | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 48 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 48 |
| 10 | Noordwijk | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 11 | UDI '19 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
| 14 | SteDoCo | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 34 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 28 |
| 18 | ASWH | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemert | 33 | 68 | 43 | +25 | 60 |
| 2 | Vvsb | 33 | 67 | 37 | +30 | 65 |
| 3 | Roosendaal | 33 | 67 | 55 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 | FC Lisse | 33 | 64 | 32 | +32 | 65 |
| 5 | Rijnvogels | 33 | 63 | 36 | +27 | 64 |
| 6 | Kloetinge | 33 | 63 | 42 | +21 | 70 |
| 7 | TOGB | 33 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 50 |
| 8 | Zwaluwen | 33 | 58 | 48 | +10 | 48 |
| 9 | Noordwijk | 33 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 44 |
| 10 | UDI '19 | 33 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 33 | 53 | 48 | +5 | 48 |
| 12 | UNA | 33 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | SVV Scheveningen | 33 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Meerssen | 33 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 28 |
| 15 | ASWH | 33 | 44 | 84 | -40 | 25 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 33 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 33 |
| 17 | GOES | 33 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 36 |
| 18 | SteDoCo | 33 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 34 |
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