Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hoogeveen Hoogeveen ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2 1-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "b3a82b42faa38dc4d132ebdab919a62309459ad1104133f29526ffbde3c18a4f",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Eemdijk",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Eemdijk"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Hoogeveen",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0758,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3418,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 2,
        "away_played": 31,
        "away_score_rate": 93.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 2,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 31,
        "home_score_rate": 74.2,
        "no_prob": 30.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 69.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 69.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 2.05,
        "home_expected": 1.65,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 6.9
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 5.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Hoogeveen or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Hoogeveen or Eemdijk",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Eemdijk",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Eemdijk",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.7,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 71.5,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 71.5,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.7,
        "under_prob": 28.5
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-2",
        "prob": 8.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0939,
        "ev_under": -0.3217,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0939,
        "over_prob": 71.5,
        "sort_key": 10234.51,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 28.5,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.2258,
        "ev_yes": -0.0006,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.0006,
        "no_prob": 30.6,
        "sort_key": 4049.916,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 69.4
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0326,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3418,
        "max_ev": -0.0326,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Hoogeveen",
        "sort_key": 1791.85,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 805.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-2",
        "top_prob": 8.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1235,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1235.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Eemdijk",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
      "country_name": "Netherlands",
      "fixture_id": 1438132,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 14235,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14235.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Hoogeveen",
      "league_country": "Netherlands",
      "league_id": 92,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/92.webp",
      "league_name": "Derde Divisie - Saturday",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.402,
            "best_odd": 2.24,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0286,
            "ev": -0.1753,
            "implied_prob": 0.3968,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3682
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2979,
            "best_odd": 3.4,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0014,
            "ev": -0.116,
            "implied_prob": 0.2614,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.26
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3988,
            "best_odd": 2.6,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0302,
            "ev": -0.0326,
            "implied_prob": 0.3418,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3721
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.53,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.44,
          "edge_no": -0.0595,
          "edge_yes": 0.0595,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2258,
          "ev_yes": -0.0006,
          "implied_no": 0.3655,
          "implied_yes": 0.6345,
          "n_bookmakers": 2,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.53,
          "best_under_odd": 2.38,
          "edge_over": 0.1075,
          "edge_under": -0.1075,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0939,
          "ev_under": -0.3217,
          "implied_over": 0.6075,
          "implied_under": 0.3925,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0939,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.694,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.715,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.285,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0302,
          "ev": -0.0326,
          "implied_prob": 0.3418,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Hoogeveen"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0595,
          "ev": -0.0006,
          "implied_prob": 0.6345,
          "model_prob": 0.694,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1075,
          "ev": 0.0939,
          "implied_prob": 0.6075,
          "model_prob": 0.715,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1438132,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0939,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Eemdijk",
        "home": "Hoogeveen"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.067138,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0939,
        "implied_prob": 0.6075,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.715,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1438132,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T16:00:42.285822+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

Obtén predicciones premium para Hoogeveen & Eemdijk!

Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.

Suscríbete ahora
Volver a Estadísticas
Derde Divisie - Saturday Derde Divisie - SaturdayClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 ROHDA Raalte 32 20 7 5 67
2 ADO '20 32 16 9 7 57
3 DVS 33 Ermelo 32 15 11 6 56
4 SC Genemuiden 32 17 5 10 56
5 Sparta Nijkerk 32 17 4 11 55
6 Staphorst 32 16 3 13 51
7 Eemdijk 32 14 8 10 50
8 Harkemase Boys 32 13 10 9 49
9 VV Scherpenzeel 32 14 6 12 48
10 Sportlust '46 32 14 5 13 47
11 Dovo 32 13 7 12 46
12 Hoogeveen 32 13 6 13 45
13 Hercules 32 12 4 16 40
14 Huizen 32 10 7 15 37
15 TEC 32 11 3 18 36
16 Excelsior '31 32 10 4 18 34
17 URK 32 8 6 18 30
18 Hsc 21 32 1 3 28 6
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 32 79 42 +37 55
2 Eemdijk 32 65 53 +12 50
3 ROHDA Raalte 32 62 33 +29 67
4 Staphorst 32 60 49 +11 51
5 URK 32 59 94 -35 30
6 SC Genemuiden 32 58 44 +14 56
7 DVS 33 Ermelo 32 55 37 +18 56
8 VV Scherpenzeel 32 55 44 +11 48
9 Sportlust '46 32 53 46 +7 47
10 Harkemase Boys 32 52 39 +13 49
11 Hoogeveen 32 52 62 -10 45
12 Huizen 32 50 62 -12 37
13 Hercules 32 49 57 -8 40
14 TEC 32 47 64 -17 36
15 Dovo 32 46 41 +5 46
16 ADO '20 32 45 35 +10 57
17 Excelsior '31 32 44 55 -11 34
18 Hsc 21 32 30 104 -74 6