Sekhukhune United vs Kaizer Chiefs Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.5308,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3242,
      "fair_odds_away": 1.88,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.08,
      "fair_odds_home": 6.9,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.55,
      "home_win_prob": 0.145,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Kaizer Chiefs",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Kaizer Chiefs",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Kaizer Chiefs"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.28,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Kaizer Chiefs",
      "confidence": 53.1,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "medium",
        "display_text": "Winner : Kaizer Chiefs",
        "edge": 0.1691,
        "edge_gap": 0.2069,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.362,
        "model_prob": 0.5311,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 53.1,
          "draw": 32.4,
          "home": 14.5
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "away",
        "selection_name": "Kaizer Chiefs"
      },
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          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.63
        }
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      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.63,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Kaizer Chiefs Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.76,
        "market_odds": 2.63,
        "model_odds": 1.88,
        "overround": 5.0,
        "prob_edge": 15.2,
        "value_pct": 39.9,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 15,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 72.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 42.3,
        "no_prob": 68.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 68.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 32.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 0.55,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 20.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 16.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 13.1
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.3
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Sekhukhune United or Draw",
            "prob": 46.9
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Sekhukhune United or Kaizer Chiefs",
            "prob": 67.6
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          {
            "key": "X2",
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            "prob": 85.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Kaizer Chiefs",
        "pick_prob": 85.5
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 53.1,
        "draw_pct": 32.4,
        "home_pct": 14.5,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Kaizer Chiefs"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 1.83,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 27.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 72.3,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.83,
        "under_prob": 72.3
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 39.9,
        "implied_prob": 38.0,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Kaizer Chiefs Win",
        "model_prob": 53.2,
        "odds": 2.63
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": {
        "best_bookmaker": "Bet365",
        "best_odds": 6.5,
        "edge": 5.1,
        "ev": 33.5,
        "label": "0-1",
        "probability": 20.5
      },
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 20.5
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    },
    "home_xg": 0.55,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.122,
        "ev_yes": -0.28,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.122,
        "no_prob": 68.0,
        "sort_key": 10259.8,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 32.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1014,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.362,
        "max_ev": 0.1014,
        "model_prob": 0.5311,
        "side_label": "Kaizer Chiefs",
        "sort_key": 10091.26,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2022,
        "ev_under": 0.0411,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0411,
        "over_prob": 27.7,
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        "tier": "best",
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        "value_side": "under"
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
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    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 2691,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2691.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Kaizer Chiefs",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/za.svg",
      "country_name": "South-Africa",
      "fixture_id": 1429696,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 15537,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/15537.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Sekhukhune United",
      "league_country": "South-Africa",
      "league_id": 288,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/288.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier Soccer League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 15:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3358,
            "best_odd": 2.63,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0568,
            "ev": 0.1014,
            "implied_prob": 0.362,
            "model_prob": 0.5311,
            "p_final": 0.4188
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4441,
            "best_odd": 2.86,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.059,
            "implied_prob": 0.3329,
            "model_prob": 0.3242,
            "p_final": 0.329
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2278,
            "best_odd": 3.12,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0365,
            "ev": -0.162,
            "implied_prob": 0.3051,
            "model_prob": 0.1447,
            "p_final": 0.2686
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 2.25,
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          "ev_yes": -0.28,
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          "implied_over": 0.3417,
          "implied_under": 0.6583,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 1.83,
      "variance_flag": false
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    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.122,
      "confidence": 7.0,
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u6781\u7aef\u9632\u5b88\uff08\u4f4e\u8fdb\u7403\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "defensive",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.32,
          "draw_prob": 0.3242,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5311,
          "over_prob": 0.277,
          "total_xg": 1.83,
          "under_prob": 0.723,
          "xg_diff": 0.73
        },
        "type": "defensive",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0568,
          "ev": 0.1014,
          "implied_prob": 0.362,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.5311,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Kaizer Chiefs"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1062,
          "ev": 0.122,
          "implied_prob": 0.5738,
          "model_prob": 0.68,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0647,
          "ev": 0.0411,
          "implied_prob": 0.6583,
          "model_prob": 0.723,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1429696,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.122,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.5311,
        "draw": 0.3242,
        "home": 0.1447
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1014,
        "implied_prob": 0.362,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.5311,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "away",
        "side_label": "Kaizer Chiefs",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1014,
          "implied_prob": 0.362,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.5311,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Kaizer Chiefs",
          "slot": "secondary"
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      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Kaizer Chiefs",
        "home": "Sekhukhune United"
      },
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        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:29:05.700906+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}