Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.411,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2642,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.43,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.78,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.08,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.46,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3247,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Frosinone",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Frosinone"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.66,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Frosinone",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0463,
        "edge_gap": 0.0868,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4576,
        "model_prob": 0.4112,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 41.1,
          "draw": 26.4,
          "home": 32.4
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
          "odd": 2.12
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          "bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
          "odd": 2.1
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        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.07
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
          "odd": 2.07
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 2.06
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 2.05
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        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 2.03
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
          "odd": 2.01
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.12,
        "bookmaker_id": 16,
        "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
        "display_market": "Frosinone Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.19,
        "market_odds": 2.03,
        "model_odds": 2.43,
        "overround": 7.5,
        "prob_edge": -6.0,
        "value_pct": -12.8,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 13,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 81.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 76.8,
        "no_prob": 36.4,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 63.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 63.6
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        "home_expected": 1.46,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.9
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.8
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            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 7.3
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Juve Stabia or Draw",
            "prob": 58.9
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Juve Stabia or Frosinone",
            "prob": 73.6
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Frosinone",
            "prob": 67.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Juve Stabia or Frosinone",
        "pick_prob": 73.6
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        "away_pct": 41.1,
        "draw_pct": 26.4,
        "home_pct": 32.5,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Frosinone"
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        "avg_total": 3.12,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.9,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 60.3,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 60.3,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.12,
        "under_prob": 39.7
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 17.0,
        "implied_prob": 27.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Juve Stabia Win",
        "model_prob": 32.5,
        "odds": 3.6
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 10.7
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.46,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0854,
        "ev_under": -0.1623,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "over_prob": 60.3,
        "sort_key": 10226.86,
        "tier": "best",
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        "value_side": "over"
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        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 63.6
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      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1083,
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        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4593,
        "max_ev": -0.0202,
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        "side_label": "Frosinone",
        "sort_key": 1794.95,
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 512,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/512.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Frosinone",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/it.svg",
      "country_name": "Italy",
      "fixture_id": 1419952,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 863,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/863.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Juve Stabia",
      "league_country": "Italy",
      "league_id": 136,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/136.webp",
      "league_name": "Serie B",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-01 18:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.5
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      "markets": {
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            "best_odd": 2.03,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.1083,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": -0.0581,
          "edge_yes": 0.0581,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1628,
          "ev_yes": 0.0303,
          "implied_no": 0.4221,
          "implied_yes": 0.5779,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
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          "best_under_odd": 2.11,
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          "edge_under": -0.0637,
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          "implied_under": 0.4607,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "total_xg": 3.12,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "confidence": 5.5,
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
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        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.2644,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4112,
          "over_prob": 0.603,
          "total_xg": 3.12,
          "under_prob": 0.397,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
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        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "ev": -0.1083,
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4112,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Frosinone"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "ev": 0.0303,
          "implied_prob": 0.5779,
          "model_prob": 0.636,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0637,
          "ev": 0.0854,
          "implied_prob": 0.5393,
          "model_prob": 0.603,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1419952,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0854,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4112,
        "draw": 0.2644,
        "home": 0.3244
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Frosinone",
        "home": "Juve Stabia"
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      "top_pick": {
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        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.603,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "fixture_id": 1419952,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-01T03:57:52.419524+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}