Parndorf vs SV Horn Statistics & Analysis

May 14, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Parndorf Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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  "facts": {
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      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Parndorf or draw and -2.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Parndorf"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Parndorf",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0265,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3912,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 19,
        "away_failed_to_score": 14,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 51.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 15,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 60.7,
        "no_prob": 68.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 68.6,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 31.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.05,
        "home_expected": 0.85,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
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          {
            "away": 1,
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          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
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          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Parndorf or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Parndorf or SV Horn",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or SV Horn",
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          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Parndorf or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.0,
        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Parndorf"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-2.5",
        "avg_total": 1.9,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 29.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 70.4,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.9,
        "under_prob": 70.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "SV Horn",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Parndorf",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.12,
          "gap_pp": 2.65,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.75,
          "gap_pp": -2.08,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 33.13,
          "gap_pp": -0.57,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 50.67,
          "gap_pp": -21.07,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 29.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 49.33,
          "gap_pp": 21.07,
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          "model_pct": 70.4
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      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.27,
          "early": 2.27,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.12,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.12,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.2,
          "early": 3.2,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.75,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.75,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.68,
          "early": 2.68,
          "implied_closing_pct": 33.13,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 33.13,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.83,
          "early": 1.83,
          "implied_closing_pct": 50.67,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 50.67,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.88,
          "early": 1.88,
          "implied_closing_pct": 49.33,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 49.33,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 21.1,
        "kind": "ou_u"
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_no": 0.4406,
        "ev_yes": -0.4819,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
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        "no_prob": 68.6,
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        "yes_prob": 31.4
      },
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        "implied_prob": 0.3912,
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        "sort_key": 1778.475,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
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        "sort_key": 827.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 15.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1397,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1397.webp",
      "away_team_name": "SV Horn",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
      "country_name": "Austria",
      "fixture_id": 1418118,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 4955,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4955.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Parndorf",
      "league_country": "Austria",
      "league_id": 221,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/221.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - Ost",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-15 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2906,
            "best_odd": 3.2,
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.006,
            "ev": -0.1314,
            "implied_prob": 0.2775,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2714
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4321,
            "best_odd": 2.27,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": -0.0861,
            "implied_prob": 0.3912,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4026
          }
        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.65,
          "edge_no": 0.2421,
          "edge_yes": -0.2421,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.4406,
          "ev_yes": -0.4819,
          "implied_no": 0.4439,
          "implied_yes": 0.5561,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.83,
          "best_under_odd": 1.88,
          "edge_over": -0.2078,
          "edge_under": 0.2078,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.4583,
          "ev_under": 0.3235,
          "implied_over": 0.5038,
          "implied_under": 0.4962,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4406,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.314,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.296,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.704,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0114,
          "ev": -0.0861,
          "implied_prob": 0.3912,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Parndorf"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2421,
          "ev": 0.4406,
          "implied_prob": 0.4439,
          "model_prob": 0.686,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2078,
          "ev": 0.3235,
          "implied_prob": 0.4962,
          "model_prob": 0.704,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1418118,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4406,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3235,
        "implied_prob": 0.4962,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.704,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.3235,
          "implied_prob": 0.4962,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.704,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SV Horn",
        "home": "Parndorf"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.302252,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4406,
        "implied_prob": 0.4439,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.686,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1418118,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-15T16:59:11.188195+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Regionalliga - Ost Regionalliga - OstClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Gloggnitz 28 17 7 4 58
2 Krems / Rehberg 29 16 7 6 55
3 Leobendorf 29 17 3 9 54
4 Parndorf 29 15 8 6 53
5 Traiskirchen 29 14 8 7 50
6 Oberwart 29 15 4 10 49
7 SV Horn 30 13 9 8 48
8 Donau 29 12 8 9 44
9 Fach-Donaufeld 29 11 8 10 41
10 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 28 10 10 8 40
11 Wiener Viktoria 28 11 5 12 38
12 Wiener SC 29 10 7 12 37
13 Union Mauer 30 10 7 13 37
14 Favoritner AC 29 10 3 16 33
15 Neusiedl 29 7 5 17 26
16 Retz 29 2 7 20 13
17 TWL Elektra 29 2 2 25 8
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Traiskirchen 29 67 40 +27 50
2 Oberwart 29 63 38 +25 49
3 Gloggnitz 28 55 34 +21 58
4 Krems / Rehberg 29 53 25 +28 55
5 SV Horn 30 51 32 +19 48
6 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 28 47 34 +13 40
7 Donau 29 47 45 +2 44
8 Parndorf 29 46 31 +15 53
9 Fach-Donaufeld 29 45 39 +6 41
10 Leobendorf 29 43 29 +14 54
11 Wiener Viktoria 28 41 44 -3 38
12 Wiener SC 29 41 51 -10 37
13 Neusiedl 29 40 61 -21 26
14 Favoritner AC 29 38 50 -12 33
15 Union Mauer 30 30 43 -13 37
16 Retz 29 21 62 -41 13
17 TWL Elektra 29 18 88 -70 8