Estadísticas / Fútbol / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września

Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września Statistics & Analysis

May 13, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Unia Swarzędz Unia Swarzędz ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "6dcc4d3fee6df2582944a39b3202346dfbb8d1870ec95683a65b9bda2d9fd2ef",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Victoria Wrze\u015bnia and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Victoria Wrze\u015bnia"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0669,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4846,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 11,
        "away_played": 30,
        "away_score_rate": 63.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 14,
        "home_played": 30,
        "home_score_rate": 53.3,
        "no_prob": 66.2,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 66.2,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 33.8
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.2,
        "home_expected": 1.25,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz or Victoria Wrze\u015bnia",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Victoria Wrze\u015bnia",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Victoria Wrze\u015bnia",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.45,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 44.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 55.7,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.45,
        "under_prob": 55.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.4564,
        "ev_yes": -0.4524,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.4564,
        "no_prob": 66.2,
        "sort_key": 10560.76,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 33.8
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2159,
        "ev_under": 0.1419,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1419,
        "over_prob": 44.3,
        "sort_key": 10127.71,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 55.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1793,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4846,
        "max_ev": -0.0592,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz",
        "sort_key": 1785.2,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 19723,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/19723.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Victoria Wrze\u015bnia",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410730,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 16257,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16257.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 781,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-13 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2733,
            "best_odd": 3.33,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0162,
            "ev": -0.0592,
            "implied_prob": 0.2663,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2825
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2966,
            "best_odd": 3.56,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0023,
            "ev": -0.1052,
            "implied_prob": 0.2491,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2514
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5398,
            "best_odd": 1.83,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0361,
            "ev": -0.1793,
            "implied_prob": 0.4846,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4485
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.2,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": 0.2313,
          "edge_yes": -0.2313,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.4564,
          "ev_yes": -0.4524,
          "implied_no": 0.4307,
          "implied_yes": 0.5693,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.77,
          "best_under_odd": 2.05,
          "edge_over": -0.0931,
          "edge_under": 0.0931,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2159,
          "ev_under": 0.1419,
          "implied_over": 0.5361,
          "implied_under": 0.4639,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4564,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.338,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.443,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.557,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0361,
          "ev": -0.1793,
          "implied_prob": 0.4846,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2313,
          "ev": 0.4564,
          "implied_prob": 0.4307,
          "model_prob": 0.662,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0931,
          "ev": 0.1419,
          "implied_prob": 0.4639,
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410730,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4564,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1419,
        "implied_prob": 0.4639,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.557,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1419,
          "implied_prob": 0.4639,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Victoria Wrze\u015bnia",
        "home": "Unia Swarz\u0119dz"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.302137,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4564,
        "implied_prob": 0.4307,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.662,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410730,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T15:59:40.671579+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 31 22 5 4 71
2 Luzino 31 22 4 5 70
3 Polonia Środa 31 17 6 8 57
4 Lech Poznań II 31 14 7 10 49
5 Elana Toruń 31 14 7 10 49
6 Flota Świnoujście 31 14 6 11 48
7 Wda Świecie 31 14 6 11 48
8 Kluczevia Stargard 31 13 7 11 46
9 Lipno Stęszew 31 13 6 12 45
10 Unia Swarzędz 31 11 8 12 41
11 Noteć Czarnków 31 12 5 14 42
12 Stargard Szczeciński 31 10 8 13 38
13 Cartusia Kartuzy 31 11 4 16 37
14 Victoria Września 31 11 3 17 36
15 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 31 8 9 14 33
16 Pogoń Szczecin II 31 9 5 17 32
17 Tłuchowia 31 6 6 18 25
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 31 3 6 22 15
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Luzino 31 71 35 +36 70
2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 31 65 21 +44 71
3 Lech Poznań II 31 64 45 +19 49
4 Polonia Środa 31 59 41 +18 57
5 Pogoń Szczecin II 31 56 63 -7 32
6 Kluczevia Stargard 31 50 36 +14 46
7 Stargard Szczeciński 31 48 49 -1 38
8 Elana Toruń 31 47 43 +4 49
9 Flota Świnoujście 31 47 47 0 48
10 Noteć Czarnków 31 42 44 -2 42
11 Wda Świecie 31 41 48 -7 48
12 Lipno Stęszew 31 40 45 -5 45
13 Cartusia Kartuzy 31 38 48 -10 37
14 Unia Swarzędz 31 37 36 +1 41
15 Victoria Września 31 36 41 -5 36
16 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 31 30 44 -14 33
17 Tłuchowia 31 29 59 -30 25
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 31 18 73 -55 15