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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Bełchatów Widzew II ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "c784df02b931e7e348ab4ab339b5017f496380a294973956693ba49d89b73315",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Widzew II and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Widzew II"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0058,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4234,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 30,
"away_score_rate": 80.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 30,
"home_score_rate": 76.7,
"no_prob": 38.7,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 61.3,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 61.3
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 2.05,
"home_expected": 1.85,
"scores": [
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 7.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.1
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-3",
"prob": 5.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w or Widzew II",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Widzew II",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Widzew II",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 3.9,
"away_avg_scored": 2.1,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 74.7,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 74.7,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.9,
"under_prob": 25.3
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.9
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0757,
"ev_under": -0.3169,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0757,
"over_prob": 74.7,
"sort_key": 10218.13,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 25.3,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0836,
"ev_yes": -0.1418,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0836,
"no_prob": 38.7,
"sort_key": 10075.24,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 61.3
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1162,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4234,
"max_ev": -0.0847,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w",
"sort_key": 1778.825,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 803.7,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-2",
"top_prob": 7.9
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 26178,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/26178.webp",
"away_team_name": "Widzew II",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1410432,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 4246,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4246.webp",
"home_team_name": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 780,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
"league_name": "III Liga - Group 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-13 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4307,
"best_odd": 2.51,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0123,
"ev": -0.1417,
"implied_prob": 0.3543,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3419
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1897,
"best_odd": 4.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0065,
"ev": -0.0847,
"implied_prob": 0.2223,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2288
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4461,
"best_odd": 2.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0026,
"ev": -0.1162,
"implied_prob": 0.4234,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4209
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.8,
"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.0445,
"edge_yes": -0.0445,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0836,
"ev_yes": -0.1418,
"implied_no": 0.3425,
"implied_yes": 0.6575,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.44,
"best_under_odd": 2.7,
"edge_over": 0.1039,
"edge_under": -0.1039,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0757,
"ev_under": -0.3169,
"implied_over": 0.6431,
"implied_under": 0.3569,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0836,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.613,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.747,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.253,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0026,
"ev": -0.1162,
"implied_prob": 0.4234,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0445,
"ev": 0.0836,
"implied_prob": 0.3425,
"model_prob": 0.387,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1039,
"ev": 0.0757,
"implied_prob": 0.6431,
"model_prob": 0.747,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1410432,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0836,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Widzew II",
"home": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.056548,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0757,
"implied_prob": 0.6431,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.747,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1410432,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T15:59:23.302608+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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III Liga - Group 1 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 31 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 78 |
| 2 | Łomża | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 65 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 64 |
| 4 | Wigry Suwałki | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 54 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Widzew II | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 48 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 | Swit | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 41 |
| 12 | Olimpia Elbląg | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36 |
| 13 | Mławianka Mława | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34 |
| 14 | Bełchatów | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 | Broń Radom | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 32 |
| 17 | Wasilków | 32 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 24 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 31 | 77 | 25 | +52 | 78 |
| 2 | Łomża | 32 | 73 | 30 | +43 | 65 |
| 3 | Troszyn | 31 | 73 | 43 | +30 | 54 |
| 4 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 32 | 69 | 60 | +9 | 43 |
| 5 | Widzew II | 31 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 48 |
| 6 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 31 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 43 |
| 7 | Warta Sieradz | 31 | 60 | 32 | +28 | 64 |
| 8 | Wigry Suwałki | 32 | 60 | 39 | +21 | 62 |
| 9 | Mławianka Mława | 31 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock II | 31 | 48 | 47 | +1 | 49 |
| 11 | Bełchatów | 32 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 34 |
| 12 | Swit | 31 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 31 | 43 | 42 | +1 | 45 |
| 14 | Olimpia Elbląg | 31 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 36 |
| 15 | Wasilków | 32 | 38 | 74 | -36 | 24 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 31 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 17 | Broń Radom | 31 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 32 | 24 | 98 | -74 | 12 |
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