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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Arema FC Arema FC ✔ Correct
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "70d19bc3490050ed56ae86c91a691ba7360e5b6fa60b33558d7fa7394da69622",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Arema FC or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Arema FC"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Arema FC",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0095,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4272,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 31,
"away_score_rate": 71.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 6,
"home_played": 31,
"home_score_rate": 80.6,
"no_prob": 42.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 57.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 57.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.3,
"home_expected": 1.4,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Arema FC or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Arema FC or PSM Makassar",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or PSM Makassar",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Arema FC or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Arema FC"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.7,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.4,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.6,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.7,
"under_prob": 49.4
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0892,
"ev_under": 0.0325,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0325,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"sort_key": 10029.25,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 49.4,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0568,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"max_ev": -0.0198,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Arema FC",
"sort_key": 1795.05,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.037,
"ev_yes": -0.0562,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.037,
"no_prob": 42.8,
"sort_key": 1790.75,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 57.2
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.2
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 2441,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2441.webp",
"away_team_name": "PSM Makassar",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/id.svg",
"country_name": "Indonesia",
"fixture_id": 1403843,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2438,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2438.webp",
"home_team_name": "Arema FC",
"league_country": "Indonesia",
"league_id": 274,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/274.webp",
"league_name": "Liga 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 08:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2866,
"best_odd": 3.22,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0085,
"ev": -0.0198,
"implied_prob": 0.2959,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3044
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2909,
"best_odd": 3.44,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0059,
"ev": -0.0676,
"implied_prob": 0.2769,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.271
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4436,
"best_odd": 2.23,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0042,
"ev": -0.0568,
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.423
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.25,
"best_yes_odd": 1.65,
"edge_no": 0.0029,
"edge_yes": -0.0029,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.037,
"ev_yes": -0.0562,
"implied_no": 0.4251,
"implied_yes": 0.5749,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.8,
"best_under_odd": 2.09,
"edge_over": -0.0292,
"edge_under": 0.0292,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0892,
"ev_under": 0.0325,
"implied_over": 0.5352,
"implied_under": 0.4648,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0325,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.572,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0325,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4648,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.494,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "under",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0042,
"ev": -0.0568,
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Arema FC"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0029,
"ev": -0.037,
"implied_prob": 0.4251,
"model_prob": 0.428,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0292,
"ev": 0.0325,
"implied_prob": 0.4648,
"model_prob": 0.494,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1403843,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0325,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "PSM Makassar",
"home": "Arema FC"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1403843,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T08:29:04.996500+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Liga 1 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pusamania Borneo | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 |
| 2 | Persib Bandung | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 75 |
| 3 | Persija | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 68 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 55 |
| 5 | Malut United | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 53 |
| 6 | Dewa United | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 50 |
| 8 | Bali United | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 |
| 9 | Persita | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 |
| 10 | Arema FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39 |
| 13 | PSM Makassar | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 14 | Persijap | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura Utd | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 18 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pusamania Borneo | 32 | 67 | 30 | +37 | 75 |
| 2 | Malut United | 33 | 67 | 46 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | Persija | 33 | 62 | 29 | +33 | 68 |
| 4 | Persib Bandung | 32 | 57 | 21 | +36 | 75 |
| 5 | Persebaya Surabaya | 33 | 56 | 35 | +21 | 55 |
| 6 | Bali United | 32 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 45 |
| 7 | Arema FC | 33 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 45 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 32 | 45 | 41 | +4 | 50 |
| 9 | Dewa United | 33 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 53 |
| 10 | Persik Kediri | 33 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 32 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 42 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 32 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 34 |
| 13 | Persita | 33 | 37 | 34 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 | Persis Solo | 33 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura Utd | 32 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Persijap | 32 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 33 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 18 |
| 18 | Semen Padang | 33 | 22 | 62 | -40 | 20 |
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