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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Persijap Persija ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "85b3f33183033a6de0ff80e52336d14662fabea5e6d533b6f75d32d2ad46de45",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Persija",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Persija"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": null,
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2001,
"edge_gap": 0.0,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2499,
"model_prob": 0.45,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 45.0,
"draw": 45.0,
"home": 10.0
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 12,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 30,
"away_score_rate": 86.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 12,
"home_played": 30,
"home_score_rate": 60.0,
"no_prob": 48.0,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 52.0,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 52.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.65,
"home_expected": 0.9,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Persijap or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Persijap or Persija",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Persija",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Persija",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.55,
"away_avg_scored": 1.9,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.9,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.55,
"under_prob": 53.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.9
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1064,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2499,
"max_ev": 0.1064,
"model_prob": 0.45,
"side_label": "draw",
"sort_key": 10245.76,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0855,
"ev_under": 0.0354,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0354,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"sort_key": 10031.86,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 53.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0832,
"ev_yes": -0.0484,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0484,
"no_prob": 48.0,
"sort_key": 1787.9,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 52.0
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.7,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
"top_prob": 12.9
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 10134,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10134.webp",
"away_team_name": "Persija",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/id.svg",
"country_name": "Indonesia",
"fixture_id": 1403838,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 11132,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11132.webp",
"home_team_name": "Persijap",
"league_country": "Indonesia",
"league_id": 274,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/274.webp",
"league_name": "Liga 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-04 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.5035,
"best_odd": 1.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.054,
"ev": -0.1446,
"implied_prob": 0.5572,
"model_prob": 0.45,
"p_final": 0.5032
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.21,
"best_odd": 3.79,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.042,
"ev": 0.1064,
"implied_prob": 0.2499,
"model_prob": 0.45,
"p_final": 0.2919
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1721,
"best_odd": 4.91,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.016,
"ev": -0.1313,
"implied_prob": 0.1929,
"model_prob": 0.1,
"p_final": 0.1769
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.91,
"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": -0.0056,
"edge_yes": 0.0056,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0832,
"ev_yes": -0.0484,
"implied_no": 0.4856,
"implied_yes": 0.5144,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.95,
"best_under_odd": 1.95,
"edge_over": -0.0307,
"edge_under": 0.0307,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0855,
"ev_under": 0.0354,
"implied_over": 0.4997,
"implied_under": 0.5003,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1064,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.52,
"draw_prob": 0.45,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.45,
"over_prob": 0.469,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.531,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.042,
"ev": 0.1064,
"implied_prob": 0.2499,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.45,
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0056,
"ev": -0.0484,
"implied_prob": 0.5144,
"model_prob": 0.52,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0307,
"ev": 0.0354,
"implied_prob": 0.5003,
"model_prob": 0.531,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1403838,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1064,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.5,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.45,
"draw": 0.45,
"home": 0.1
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Persija",
"home": "Persijap"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.04788,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1064,
"implied_prob": 0.2499,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.45,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1403838,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-04T11:59:05.229549+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Liga 1 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pusamania Borneo | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 |
| 2 | Persib Bandung | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 75 |
| 3 | Persija | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 68 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 55 |
| 5 | Malut United | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 53 |
| 6 | Dewa United | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 50 |
| 8 | Bali United | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 |
| 9 | Persita | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 |
| 10 | Arema FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39 |
| 13 | PSM Makassar | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 14 | Persijap | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura Utd | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 18 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pusamania Borneo | 32 | 67 | 30 | +37 | 75 |
| 2 | Malut United | 33 | 67 | 46 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | Persija | 33 | 62 | 29 | +33 | 68 |
| 4 | Persib Bandung | 32 | 57 | 21 | +36 | 75 |
| 5 | Persebaya Surabaya | 33 | 56 | 35 | +21 | 55 |
| 6 | Bali United | 32 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 45 |
| 7 | Arema FC | 33 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 45 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 32 | 45 | 41 | +4 | 50 |
| 9 | Dewa United | 33 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 53 |
| 10 | Persik Kediri | 33 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 32 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 42 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 32 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 34 |
| 13 | Persita | 33 | 37 | 34 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 | Persis Solo | 33 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura Utd | 32 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Persijap | 32 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 33 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 18 |
| 18 | Semen Padang | 33 | 22 | 62 | -40 | 20 |
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